Will Oregon win the 2026 College Football National Championship?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa42b33d7bddcf5c3c973c7de2bed81207ed52953f18efa92b13cf760bb39646

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 10, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $774,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $721,431

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $774,516 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in College Football
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes	23c	299,795$68,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68,600.3	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1223…d424backed No	77c	95,946$74,234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,712.17	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-74.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed No	77c	38,291$29,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,790.3	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-63%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c60…b19cbacked No	80c	37,314$29,843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,471.38	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.6wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+200.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe639…9122backed Yes	10c	27,508$2,739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,739.36	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Yes	22c	20,692$4,637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,636.71	127	46.5%59 W · 68 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16e4…76d4backed Yes	22c	11,676$2,592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,592.07	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…9d18backed Yes	22c	11,672$2,556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,556.17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Yes	13c	10,965$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	179	46.9%84 W · 95 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Yes	21c	10,124$2,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,169.73	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No	79c	9,550$7,509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,041.29	292	49%143 W · 149 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe18d…cae2backed Yes	22c	9,480$2,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,095.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a2f…31aebacked Yes	17c	9,004$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.77	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d9…870ebacked Yes	13c	7,805$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.15per pick	42cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes	15c	7,632$1,131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,130.89	51	37.3%19 W · 32 L	-7.4wins	-0.15per pick	52cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes	12c	6,896$796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$796.19	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+3.4wins	+0.28per pick	22cpaid	+86.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Yes	11c	6,770$766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$766.02	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes	21c	5,285$1,135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,135.31	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes	16c	5,076$823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$823	90	48.9%44 W · 46 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	78c	4,636$3,602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,033.87	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Yes	12c	4,134$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.57	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.15per pick	38cpaid	-60.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes	9c	4,060$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.82	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8d8…a403backed No	78c	3,777$2,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$827.16	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Yes	20c	3,624$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$724.73	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb4d…55edbacked No	78c	3,380$2,633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$746.98	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+125.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cc7…5536backed No	78c	3,286$2,551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$735.18	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4fc8…f9fcbacked No	78c	3,280$2,555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$724.88	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No	80c	3,122$2,483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$639.06	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x521b…f246backed No	78c	3,053$2,375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$677.77	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59c1…e2f9backed No	78c	3,030$2,366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$663.57	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59e6…e206backed No	78c	3,029$2,357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$672.44	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No	77c	3,010$2,326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$684.2	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcfb2…6129backed Yes	11c	2,923$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.38	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0395…c9edbacked Yes	15c	2,895$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.6	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e94…308cbacked No	78c	2,823$2,196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$626.71	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x969d…edbcbacked No	78c	2,820$2,197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$623.22	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0a1…2362backed No	78c	2,771$2,156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$615.16	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x556f…3fa7backed No	78c	2,715$2,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$594.58	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-36%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes	22c	2,661$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588.48	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	-7.0wins	-0.16per pick	45cpaid	-36%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	19c	2,599$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.63	103	40.8%42 W · 61 L	+6.2wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Yes	23c	2,548$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$596.29	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes	24c	2,389$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565.37	56	37.5%21 W · 35 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	6c	2,321$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.02	224	4%9 W · 215 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-74.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x793c…e8dabacked No	80c	2,304$1,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464.03	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5344…c194backed Yes	11c	2,301$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.58	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	36cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9f7…00f9backed No	77c	2,200$1,696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504.2	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.33per pick	47cpaid	+52%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea9b…fce0backed No	78c	2,150$1,679 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.85	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Yes	11c	2,130$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.89	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	29cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15a6…466fbacked Yes	8c	2,001$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.29	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	22c	2,000$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441.99	526	41.8%220 W · 306 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4816…e928backed Yes	16c	1,930$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-72.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c22…160abacked Yes	23c	1,764$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.2	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No	77c	1,500$1,159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.55	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b4…a278backed Yes	10c	1,462$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.37	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked Yes	21c	1,432$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.81	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6181…ad60backed Yes	16c	1,408$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.85	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	7c	1,310$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.83	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0509…6e98backed No	78c	1,299$1,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.12	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No	77c	1,229$945 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.9	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd914…4ac4backed No	79c	1,146$906 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.72	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eee…9b2bbacked Yes	12c	1,005$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc7e…06a2backed Yes	8c	1,001$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b9…403dbacked Yes	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55f4…959cbacked Yes	7c	999.87$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.49	62	50%31 W · 31 L	+5.8wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4d0…448ebacked Yes	23c	899$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.02	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	16c	896.36$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.5	128	16.4%21 W · 107 L	-8.4wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4602…04cabacked Yes	23c	890$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.61	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe408…232bbacked Yes	8c	878.62$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.29	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdca…81cebacked Yes	23c	877$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.79	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	56cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe95b…d4d5backed Yes	12c	869$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.28	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.18per pick	27cpaid	+42.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x85b3…c873backed Yes	23c	859$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.46	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Yes	22c	856.8$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.08	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507c…4166backed Yes	9c	827.94$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.66	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c08…667fbacked Yes	23c	822$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.54	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	+71.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ed…6ae2backed Yes	23c	801$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.75	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5c7…05d2backed Yes	23c	795$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.2	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	10c	788.93$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.17	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11eb…9546backed Yes	23c	787.25$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Yes	7c	779.45$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.22	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-2.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc07a…7163backed Yes	23c	777$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f6c…2543backed Yes	23c	767$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.99	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	22c	762.58$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.9	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-77.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Yes	10c	720.12$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.73	134	32.8%44 W · 90 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	79c	717.44$567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.97	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Yes	11c	699.96$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.5	71	45.1%32 W · 39 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb20b…23aebacked Yes	22c	694.48$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x124c…1cdfbacked Yes	21c	691.86$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.29	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Yes	20c	688$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.9	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff3e…e7babacked Yes	23c	650$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.88	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	12c	640.93$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.33	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6378…a22abacked Yes	23c	631$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.3	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x206c…06d2backed No	78c	628$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.25	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+29%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b0…fe76backed Yes	23c	624$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.73	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09fe…76eebacked No	79c	602.33$476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.44	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	6c	601.31$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.08	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	+2.5wins	+0.11per pick	20cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8adb…dd2fbacked Yes	11c	600$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.48	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	16cpaid	-80.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes	23c	599.99$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.35	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc06b…ab62backed No	77c	589.68$454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.63	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58d7…2986backed No	78c	571$443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.09	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.25per pick	58cpaid	-57%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	566.23$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	280	32.9%92 W · 188 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Oregon win the 2026 College Football National Championship?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event