College Football · resolved market
Will Texas Tech win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb54a8dfb68b8042c2e547004e34df69bc702d14684724cd4d532aa47959e17e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 9,296$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.02 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 10c | 8,738$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.13 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 8c | 6,284$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.5 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 7c | 4,615$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.07 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 8c | 4,292$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.12 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Yes | 6c | 4,222$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.8 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5387…c91ebacked Yes | 5c | 4,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 19c | 2,075$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…d6abbacked Yes | 9c | 2,020$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.97 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f4…05e9backed Yes | 5c | 1,962$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.69 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 4c | 1,773$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed Yes | 9c | 1,718$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.28 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 7c | 1,646$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.24 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 8c | 1,564$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,541$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…3a0dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,322$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 10c | 1,255$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.78 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x104c…e0acbacked Yes | 8c | 1,188$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,182$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,133$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 8c | 1,130$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.01 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 42cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7c66backed Yes | 9c | 1,128$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 1,078$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.82 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 2c | 1,054$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.89 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…7518backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba0…f472backed Yes | 8c | 999.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…6cb6backed Yes | 9c | 985.1$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.57 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…c53fbacked Yes | 9c | 927.91$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…372dbacked Yes | 10c | 845.22$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.38 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf746…320fbacked Yes | 12c | 841.46$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Yes | 10c | 816.73$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.59 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 10c | 781.16$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…7c61backed Yes | 9c | 739.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…7448backed Yes | 7c | 723.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 9c | 705$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +129.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 703.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 9c | 682.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 658.64$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Yes | 9c | 640.85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 8c | 599.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…dd2fbacked Yes | 10c | 599.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…4d16backed Yes | 2c | 565.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked Yes | 9c | 534.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Yes | 3c | 515.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 8c | 509.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e9…bc72backed Yes | 12c | 497.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe96…ce73backed Yes | 10c | 484.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…3796backed Yes | 8c | 417$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd043…a007backed Yes | 7c | 358.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x247f…ff45backed Yes | 9c | 325.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 11c | 324$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…0983backed Yes | 8c | 323.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…caf5backed Yes | 5c | 292.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 8c | 280.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed Yes | 8c | 235$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…89ffbacked Yes | 10c | 209.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 12c | 199.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 6c | 199$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Yes | 8c | 188.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 8c | 185.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 10c | 146$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…13b5backed Yes | 9c | 140.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b9…522ebacked Yes | 9c | 139.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e5…b17dbacked Yes | 9c | 128.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0255…ba2dbacked Yes | 12c | 125.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Texas Tech win the 2026 College Football National Championship?this page
- Will Alabama win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will Arizona State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will Auburn win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will Baylor win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will Clemson win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will Florida win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will Georgia Tech win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will Georgia win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will Illinois win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?Yes won
- Will Iowa win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will James Madison win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will Kansas State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will LSU win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will Louisville win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will Miami Florida win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will Michigan win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will Missouri win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will Nebraska win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will Notre Dame win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will Oklahoma win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will Ole Miss win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will Oregon win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will Penn State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will SMU win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will South Carolina win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will TCU win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will Tennessee win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will Texas A&M win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will Texas win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will Tulane win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will USC win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
- Will Utah win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.