TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,545,243
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,619,488

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,545,243 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,011 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6911…947cbacked Yes44c31,808$13,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,866.33231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Yes74c19,000$14,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,867.011546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1223…d424backed No28c17,009$4,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,758.25520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-74.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes50c15,000$7,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,476.1315751%80 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes59c14,749$8,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,004.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-43.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…1b1fbacked Yes20c12,650$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,151.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+406.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a47…6b59backed Yes20c12,600$2,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,092.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+402.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…3c70backed Yes19c11,715$2,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,442.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+415.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdab1…9f4fbacked Yes21c10,706$2,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,447.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+373.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1857…79c1backed No26c10,600$2,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,798.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f7…4881backed No26c10,050$2,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,61310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed Yes45c10,029$4,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,520.961145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Yes16c10,019$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,365.7217946.9%84 W · 95 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes32c9,799$3,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,709.1252641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No50c9,218$4,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,585.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-48.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes25c8,190$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,165.176251.6%32 W · 30 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Yes43c7,902$3,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,540.2714836.5%54 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b62…d55cbacked No80c7,500$5,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,992.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43f8…9ddfbacked No80c7,500$5,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,992.510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42af…23a5backed No80c7,500$5,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,992.510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2252…aebdbacked No80c7,475$5,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,972.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf76a…ebb7backed Yes43c7,029$3,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,013.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97a0…1509backed Yes43c6,929$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,928.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+148.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes43c6,626$2,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,782.51435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+46.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x264f…c347backed No80c6,600$5,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,270.110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fb9…d765backed No80c6,600$5,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,273.410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61b5…e2b5backed No80c6,600$5,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,273.410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes29c6,157$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,382.691250%6 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+86.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0730…abc2backed No80c6,000$4,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,79410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d51…9643backed No80c6,000$4,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,79410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x721f…830cbacked No80c6,000$4,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,79410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd436…2251backed Yes43c5,949$2,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,396.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x793c…e8dabacked No51c5,801$2,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,957.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x939b…9cd7backed Yes72c5,670$4,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.91425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-65.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed Yes72c5,400$3,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.231758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed No30c5,398$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.56425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-63.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked No49c5,185$2,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.074429.5%13 W · 31 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-36%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7e62…6ff1backed No26c4,945$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8bb…fe98backed No80c4,918$3,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,917.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa55c…9695backed No80c4,918$3,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,917.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc233…8270backed No80c4,918$3,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,917.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf530…d835backed No80c4,918$3,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,917.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Yes42c4,770$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,766.58862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f67…cc48backed Yes42c4,748$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,755.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba97…b4cfbacked No57c4,698$2,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,682.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No50c4,496$2,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,229.84560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4749…d2a8backed No26c4,463$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe194…9016backed No57c4,340$2,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,478.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1c7…4539backed No26c4,128$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes74c4,031$2,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.86616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-77.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed Yes44c4,000$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,252.211747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe171…9738backed No57c3,940$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x331a…9752backed Yes74c3,900$2,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5e…7656backed Yes74c3,900$2,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3586…60d5backed No79c3,837$3,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,027.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No22c3,731$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.7763243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2881…655ebacked No79c3,614$2,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,851.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes43c3,612$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.3329249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes40c3,611$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.5312816.4%21 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15cf…9fdfbacked No22c3,537$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2802…bccdbacked No26c3,490$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…1518backed Yes74c3,400$2,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bb3…1ddabacked Yes74c3,380$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec58…dd47backed Yes74c3,300$2,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea6f…1b28backed No79c3,255$2,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,568.410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a2f…31aebacked Yes42c3,188$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13f3…a498backed No80c3,144$2,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,502.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ec…86dfbacked No80c3,144$2,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,502.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0bb…f3e2backed No80c3,144$2,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,502.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes22c3,129$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,427.688851.1%45 W · 43 L+9.3wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+11.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Yes45c3,091$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,712.031172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+39.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa44b…98f3backed No80c3,058$2,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,430.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdf9…35f4backed No20c3,053$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd98f…5d9abacked Yes42c3,034$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+139.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ae…f471backed Yes57c3,019$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes17c3,014$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,513.846048.3%29 W · 31 L+8.2wins+0.14per pick35cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2285…2a28backed Yes74c3,008$2,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Yes44c3,002$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,684.725339.6%21 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3499…e435backed Yes74c3,000$2,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021c…2562backed No80c3,000$2,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,38810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf959…0125backed No80c3,000$2,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,39110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50af…c601backed No80c3,000$2,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,39110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes55c2,993$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.172516%4 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-62.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8886…3913backed Yes21c2,978$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,354.45475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick31cpaid+121.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed No35c2,949$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda6d…1b6dbacked No26c2,899$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe639…9122backed Yes15c2,880$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,434.041844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8162…657cbacked Yes74c2,807$2,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f7e…6245backed No26c2,774$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x314f…8d80backed Yes74c2,771$2,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53d7…00bcbacked Yes74c2,770$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes78c2,692$2,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.282548%12 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1307…d640backed No57c2,681$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,525.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3f4…05e9backed Yes14c2,671$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,295.77137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-45.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Yes42c2,671$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.742458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No56c2,626$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.512339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8917…7e6bbacked No18c2,623$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…fca9backed No26c2,615$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc561…fa80backed No80c2,597$2,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,067.781060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5c9…09ffbacked No26c2,591$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.