TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Will Texas win the 2026 College Football National Championship?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,616
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,908

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,616 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8c99…82fbbacked Yes3c14,567$492 inLost-$4923033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1cb…85eebacked Yes3c13,087$453 inLost-$452.941546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c10,025$96 inLost-$96.082244%9 W · 215 L-0.5wins0.00per pick4cpaid-74.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5975…81bbbacked Yes1c4,111$21 inLost-$20.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed38…a90fbacked Yes0c3,000$12 inLost-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2012…128fbacked Yes1c2,700$32 inLost-$32714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-82.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd94…0b01backed Yes15c2,000$300 inLost-$30040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes15c1,767$266 inLost-$266.186048.3%29 W · 31 L+8.2wins+0.14per pick35cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes14c1,198$171 inLost-$170.7668440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b3…7d36backed Yes17c1,029$175 inLost-$174.6825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87c5…4fa3backed Yes15c984.67$148 inLost-$147.7825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-65.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6737…448abacked Yes14c688.42$98 inLost-$98.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce96…e732backed Yes14c622.57$86 inLost-$86.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4882…39b7backed Yes16c621.79$99 inLost-$99333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…6638backed Yes16c612.5$101 inLost-$10150%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes3c603.79$16 inLost-$15.592330.4%7 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick20cpaid-39.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked Yes4c599.68$23 inLost-$22.793246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes4c295.2$11 inLost-$11.361250%6 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+86.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3e75…ab84backed Yes11c237.07$25 inLost-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ddd…372dbacked Yes17c205.88$35 inLost-$352227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x490e…3a25backed Yes16c203.06$32 inLost-$32.49825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ecd…0787backed Yes16c157.73$25 inLost-$25.2440%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes12c155$19 inLost-$18.77143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x132c…5d2fbacked Yes16c125$20 inLost-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.