TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd362…9bc4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
463
Categories scored
39
Categories below 50
28

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst Weather at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10857.4%62 W · 46 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 108 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,845Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,844.55
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$35.59
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.69
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.1
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,532Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$1,386.27
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.35
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$42.05
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.37
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$90.99
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,233Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$1,083.89
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,987Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,987.31
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$22.25
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.05
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$20.45
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$673Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+133.3%+$897.57
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.6
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.5
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.42
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$16.25
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.53
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$36.98
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.78
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.17
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12,317Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$4,994.2
Showing 25 of 108 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT6740.3%27 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$33.53
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,344Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$374.87
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+80.1%+$246.57
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$32.9
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.91
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.85
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$45.72
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.29
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.71
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$21.75
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$94.48
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.48
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.87
Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$862Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$282.03
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$674Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$674.13
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+36%+$167.55
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.12
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$701Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+29%+$203.25
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.09
Will Laure Lavalette be the next mayor of Toulon?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.88
Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.01
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.12
Will the Social Democrats win 35-39 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT4325.6%11 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-52.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.06
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$957Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$267.2
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.43
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$39.87
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$904Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$328.34
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.31
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.37
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.75
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,735Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,735.22
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,474Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$835.53
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,435Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,435.05
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$46.26
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16,111.2
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$167.89
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$99.27
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$43.48
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$134.32
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.12
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$772Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$771.88
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$596.66
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$379.74
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$19.71
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$49.35
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$60.07
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT4233.3%14 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-44.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$82.14
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.39
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.13
Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.36
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$974Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$946.44
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.2
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$129.83
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.17
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10,384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,384.28
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.31
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$773Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+30%+$231.73
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.05
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.28
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 42m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$67.55
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+90.2%+$424.46
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+165.9%+$150.3
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 47m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.83
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.55
Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.27
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$968.57
Will "Send Help" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.32
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17.64
Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$9.1
Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.75
Will a White Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$187.06
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+146.8%+$1,039.73
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,706Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$4,705.61
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$978Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+28.5%+$278.69
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$216.06
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19,408Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19,408.23
Will New England beat Seattle in Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46%+$20.47
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$43.18
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,702Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$3,701.55
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,037Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+84.6%+$4,259.8
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$131.48
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,685Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,685.46
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,182Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+41.2%+$487.47
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$748Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+58.7%+$439.73
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,147.56
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+38.4%+$126.66
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+31.1%+$11.87
Will the Carolina Panthers win the NFC South?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$83.78
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the NFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+40.6%+$256.99
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$112.53
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+26.6%+$9.45
Will the Chicago Bears win the NFC North?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12.36
All 21 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.47
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$115.43
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30,371Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,370.63
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.96
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$330.94
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 22-28, 2026 (ET)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$113.83
Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,506Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+52.8%+$1,324.34
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$815Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+295.3%+$2,405.35
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,962Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,962.16
Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$38.26
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$29.02
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$69.98
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$141.55
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16.66
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$28.1
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+97.7%+$260.76
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$18
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$558.28
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$115.67
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$683Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+132.1%+$902.39
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.89
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+30.1%+$106.43
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+73.8%+$58.11
Will the USA Stripes team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+47.7%+$77.5
Will the USA Stars team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$51.1
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$16.8
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,258Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,257.98
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-67.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$36.45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$467.58
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.76
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$81.84
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.39
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$42,708Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+38%+$16,221.22
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,610Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,610.24
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$90.85
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$130.03
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$231.79
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$302.8
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.55
All 13 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-52.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$9,588Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+31.4%+$3,006.96
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,646Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$2,645.66
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,212Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,212.25
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+81%+$80.95
Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$360.33
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30.46
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$135.66
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,095Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+59.6%+$1,247.66
Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$403.19
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$95.68
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$196.24
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,046Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+49.3%+$515.98
Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$938Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$938.18
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-46.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$794Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$794.05
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$290.23
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.41
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.19
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13.05
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+203%+$26.8
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+40.8%+$10.15
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$22.4
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11.15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-55.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.86
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$27.3
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+29.8%+$33.74
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$90.98
Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on December 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$21.06
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 43°F or higher on December 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+52%+$44.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 41-42°F on December 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20.9
Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on December 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$16.65
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+102.9%+$60
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$58.05
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.82
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+389.2%+$1,475.83
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$85 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+38.6%+$167.61
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.05
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,388.85
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,477Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+41.5%+$2,270.59
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$5,712Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46.2%+$2,638.69
All 9 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-51.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
F1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$689Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$689.1
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$51.42
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$98.59
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$7,171Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.7%+$1,917.43
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$31.71
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$96.37
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+57.2%+$102.88
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+49.8%+$132.66
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$205.45
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick31cpaid-15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid+65.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-60.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-45%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-48.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+86.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-50.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+82.6%+$17.55
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+111%+$25.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+65.2%+$52.08
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+43.9%+$7.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight go the distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+27.4%+$17.2
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$27.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick73cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF América win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+44.9%+$18.29
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$76
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+132.6%+$25.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$90.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$322.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$12.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.