F1 · resolved market
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x981d3895def3a9a7d8c7f5efa378e55a86b12b8c805633776eb56816a37c8fd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $369,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,433 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 372 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2be7…2ea9backed No | 0c | 23,560$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 49c | 17,374$8,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,803.69 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 71c | 14,177$10,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,154.21 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes | 63c | 14,166$8,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,174.31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 70c | 12,217$8,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,604.34 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 40c | 10,800$4,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,522.08 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 23c | 9,501$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,217.46 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 0c | 8,400$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 59 | 1.7%1 W · 58 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Yes | 79c | 7,294$5,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 43c | 6,672$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.22 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 32c | 6,348$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.79 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed No | 28c | 6,120$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.21 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed No | 16c | 5,854$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.06 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb064…0b34backed No | 30c | 4,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 71c | 4,251$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,022.44 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 36c | 4,251$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.57 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Yes | 73c | 4,169$3,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.59 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c1…2727backed Yes | 72c | 4,140$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed No | 10c | 4,131$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 41c | 3,890$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.53 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…45eebacked Yes | 73c | 3,601$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.24 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Yes | 67c | 3,498$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.06 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed No | 33c | 3,411$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.89 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 29c | 3,130$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.68 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd068…18f9backed No | 40c | 3,105$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab4…954abacked Yes | 33c | 3,022$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked No | 67c | 2,750$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 33c | 2,716$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.87 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Yes | 77c | 2,603$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 53c | 2,481$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.86 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 33c | 2,185$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.21 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 66c | 2,121$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.01 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 34c | 2,049$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 67c | 2,026$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +195.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…6d6dbacked Yes | 49c | 2,020$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +182.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…2dfabacked Yes | 33c | 2,000$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.95 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Yes | 37c | 1,617$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.84 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 30c | 1,450$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…9c40backed Yes | 73c | 1,436$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3487backed Yes | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc84…8f5bbacked Yes | 72c | 1,353$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.93 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 34c | 1,345$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.33 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…9f4abacked No | 30c | 1,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0132…6a0abacked No | 29c | 1,116$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 76c | 1,106$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.88 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 58c | 1,082$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…116abacked Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed No | 69c | 1,029$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1442…6552backed Yes | 73c | 1,025$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 51c | 1,008$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 50c | 1,003$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.84 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…706fbacked Yes | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.99 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…36c8backed Yes | 72c | 999.98$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 67c | 999.96$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.97 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea0…2563backed Yes | 56c | 990$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Yes | 31c | 976.98$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Yes | 30c | 951.3$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed No | 52c | 914.21$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.63 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes | 27c | 884.53$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.71 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 29c | 879.9$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.15 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2df…0fbdbacked No | 28c | 850.98$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc0…25f8backed Yes | 72c | 833.33$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 74c | 802.1$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.11 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 45c | 756.49$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.04 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed No | 29c | 751.39$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed No | 27c | 750$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 71c | 688.73$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…51b3backed Yes | 74c | 678.69$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 51c | 678.55$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.13 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78c3…7003backed No | 49c | 675.21$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c85…d15dbacked Yes | 24c | 663.53$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.92 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 36c | 662$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d7…1334backed Yes | 39c | 651.84$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ea…f29dbacked No | 32c | 615.45$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.3 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -88%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 52c | 607.72$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.67 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Yes | 77c | 604.16$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69aa…8847backed Yes | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Yes | 76c | 599.99$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked No | 4c | 580$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 22c | 578.08$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.18 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…b75bbacked Yes | 34c | 571$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e12…0ea4backed No | 28c | 555$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked Yes | 77c | 543.98$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.98 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 30c | 510.37$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.53 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…d57dbacked Yes | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a4ffbacked No | 46c | 482.42$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x184c…be31backed Yes | 74c | 475.03$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 30c | 463.69$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.69 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…e8e6backed Yes | 33c | 454.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5980…92d2backed Yes | 61c | 439.18$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…4090backed Yes | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 63c | 419.87$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.23 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…bd53backed Yes | 31c | 419.35$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked No | 31c | 414.7$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…fca5backed No | 17c | 410.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…f11ebacked Yes | 73c | 409.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.85 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 34c | 405.96$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.38 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcb…2d4ebacked No | 25c | 396.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Arvid Lindblad win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.