F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ef2821794539794406d331e007401ad5ee30cd51e53b90d587801fbcb997f1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $236,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,485 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 1c | 12,154$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.39 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…8b7fbacked Yes | 3c | 6,460$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 11c | 6,316$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.89 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 6,047$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 59 | 1.7%1 W · 58 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0751…530ebacked Yes | 2c | 5,212$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…569bbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Yes | 1c | 4,309$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f10…fd78backed Yes | 1c | 3,888$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 2c | 3,775$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd588…cec0backed Yes | 1c | 3,271$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 9c | 3,179$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.28 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Yes | 2c | 3,029$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 23c | 3,000$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.48 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Yes | 4c | 2,700$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79da…80e9backed Yes | 1c | 2,422$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09b…1fc0backed Yes | 5c | 2,393$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2a…4ab7backed Yes | 2c | 2,215$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 3c | 2,163$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Yes | 2c | 2,068$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Yes | 4c | 2,006$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.3 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4690…df50backed Yes | 5c | 1,983$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +181.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdd…e6a9backed Yes | 4c | 1,922$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…10fabacked Yes | 1c | 1,885$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9233…6f38backed Yes | 3c | 1,873$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,833$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.91 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,829$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a70…510dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,823$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 5c | 1,822$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.69 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…4cf5backed Yes | 2c | 1,674$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Yes | 22c | 1,641$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3307…6f4dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,515$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 3c | 1,514$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,429$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c85…d15dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,392$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.06 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…5d94backed Yes | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e12…0ea4backed Yes | 2c | 1,330$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ab…7e06backed Yes | 2c | 1,294$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcac5…30bebacked Yes | 4c | 1,284$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…a073backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4210…44e6backed Yes | 3c | 1,171$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,133$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 5c | 1,097$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x841d…4ff4backed Yes | 2c | 1,034$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,006$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…e8e6backed Yes | 5c | 1,001$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab2…a2b7backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228e…08efbacked Yes | 2c | 983.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91a5…b9f8backed Yes | 2c | 926$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4d…3e2cbacked Yes | 2c | 919.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 2c | 910.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 2c | 892.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7d…1313backed Yes | 2c | 879$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5980…92d2backed Yes | 21c | 870.57$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…73acbacked Yes | 1c | 858$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdb…529dbacked Yes | 3c | 830.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 19c | 799.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.9 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5367…0c6abacked Yes | 2c | 742.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 2c | 711.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd91d…a524backed Yes | 2c | 700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947c…9a5cbacked Yes | 2c | 660.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…8d96backed Yes | 2c | 642.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a66…359dbacked Yes | 2c | 640.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 7c | 633.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff5…6063backed Yes | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439d…3e06backed Yes | 2c | 517.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd30b…1b50backed Yes | 43c | 505.79$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…8ad7backed Yes | 20c | 503.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked Yes | 2c | 501.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf42…725ebacked Yes | 2c | 496.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab4…954abacked Yes | 21c | 471$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 3c | 458.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8e…5f38backed Yes | 22c | 454.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…9f33backed Yes | 7c | 441.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 79c | 420.37$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.15 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…f5ffbacked Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 344.36$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde85…82dfbacked Yes | 4c | 333.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bed…9178backed Yes | 12c | 284.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c07…c14ebacked Yes | 8c | 267.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e58…b3f1backed Yes | 4c | 266.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ce…0cc9backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…27c8backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…1b22backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Yes | 25c | 199.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc0…47e5backed Yes | 9c | 193.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 8c | 184.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…1a26backed Yes | 7c | 163.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Yes | 15c | 162.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…e416backed Yes | 19c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc20…0522backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Yes | 17c | 111$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc421…724cbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7415…fae8backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…b548backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…e4c2backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Arvid Lindblad win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.