TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x228e…08ef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$13.86
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$7.69
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 203.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will New York Knicks advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+189.9%+$36.49
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+223%+$39.02
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.93
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$40.34
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.57
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$4.92
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$212
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Norway vs. England: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$9.99
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$7.6
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$37.92
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$13.25
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$34.74
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$37.82
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 16 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$11.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+167.6%+$33.51
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$32.27
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-52.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+148.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$7.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+28%+$27.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.