Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa759027eeb9a07db6243b6e2b3cb15e0202ed32339d6a365197e4cdf73aae7ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 32c | 1,200$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.2 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e7…fc47backed No | 52c | 1,100$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 58c | 996.43$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.36 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed Yes | 46c | 759.99$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.99 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d0…6d36backed No | 71c | 703.3$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 520.97$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.21 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked No | 13c | 467.03$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 60c | 445.74$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.16 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 53c | 414.07$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.94 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 33c | 316.03$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.1 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 45c | 310$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.17 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 20c | 293.25$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.05 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb541…169dbacked Yes | 38c | 264.02$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.84 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…dae0backed Yes | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.76 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…626abacked No | 61c | 247.47$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 27c | 241.71$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.83 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 25c | 234.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…1002backed No | 77c | 234.49$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb5…e19cbacked No | 49c | 219.75$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.18 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | -10.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda58…6009backed No | 58c | 212.79$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.39 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 37c | 201.07$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.49 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…5844backed Yes | 50c | 200.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.09 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.5 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 63c | 198$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.38 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 45c | 187.51$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 73c | 186.43$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.45 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 65c | 175.6$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.62 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3e…9ff6backed Yes | 57c | 175.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee01…b01fbacked Yes | 60c | 175.01$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 59c | 171.05$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 48c | 171.02$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.43 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed Yes | 26c | 163.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.28 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9be…b6afbacked Yes | 62c | 160.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 42c | 160.51$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.11 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…3ef0backed No | 63c | 146.05$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa223…0894backed No | 68c | 146$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8785…5d00backed Yes | 39c | 145.19$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.19 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 35c | 143$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.14 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3182…4ff7backed No | 76c | 139.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.69 | 141 | 68.1%96 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 72c | 137.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 57c | 136.69$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 55c | 134$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.11 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…9461backed Yes | 39c | 129.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.7 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…43a8backed Yes | 62c | 128$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 36c | 127.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.39 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked No | 66c | 126$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 358 | 54.7%196 W · 162 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…d09cbacked Yes | 49c | 123.85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 35c | 122.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed Yes | 52c | 120.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 57c | 119.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 47c | 119.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5a…bc49backed Yes | 53c | 117.87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked No | 45c | 110.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd3…104cbacked Yes | 46c | 108.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 41c | 108$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…a22dbacked No | 23c | 106.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 29c | 104.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.92 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 40c | 103.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 61c | 103.51$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…6c35backed Yes | 60c | 100.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 166 | 26.5%44 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 242 | 38%92 W · 150 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf14a…86d2backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…b978backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…1445backed Yes | 58c | 98.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5868…64c8backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 39c | 96.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 53c | 95.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…95f3backed Yes | 41c | 92.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x737c…a65dbacked Yes | 29c | 92.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +249.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed No | 62c | 91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…f77fbacked Yes | 56c | 90.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 39c | 87.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…712bbacked Yes | 57c | 87.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 65c | 85.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f4…63a4backed Yes | 52c | 85.48$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 55c | 81.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…6e3ebacked No | 62c | 81.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…634dbacked Yes | 52c | 80.28$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 34c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd6…092abacked No | 54c | 76.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 247 | 36%89 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 55c | 75.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed No | 57c | 69.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…190ebacked Yes | 57c | 69.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed Yes | 33c | 69.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 68.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 60c | 66.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 391 | 59.8%234 W · 157 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c52…1411backed Yes | 54c | 65.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…a384backed No | 39c | 64.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed Yes | 64c | 63.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 61c | 63.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 43c | 62.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe63…2de4backed Yes | 61c | 62.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed No | 44c | 61.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 515 | 53.6%276 W · 239 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 76c | 60.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.