TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa223…0894

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3565.7%23 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on May 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.08
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C or higher on May 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$36.45
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.53
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.53
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 31°C on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$15.92
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.81
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.39
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.12
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.52
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.98
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$33.85
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+94.3%+$21.45
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.25
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$32.21
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.43
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$59.37
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$18.49
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$11.76
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.98
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.77
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.4
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT3135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Emilio Nava vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Savannah: Braden Shick vs Mitchell Kruegerbacked Braden Shick · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.91
Madrid Open: Martin Landaluce vs Adam Waltonbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.18
Madrid Open: Patrick Kypson vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.36
Madrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.45
Shymkent: Timofey Skatov vs Daniil Ostapenkovbacked Daniil Ostapenkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.68
Gwangju: Liam Broady vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.15
Gwangju: Sho Shimabukuro vs Yuta Shimizubacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Gwangju: Hyeon Chung vs Clement Chidekhbacked Clement Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.21
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.22
Madrid Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Tereza Valentovabacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.44
Madrid Open: Anhelina Kalinina vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$14.97
Madrid Open: Talia Gibson vs Emiliana Arangobacked Emiliana Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$39.27
Madrid Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.36
Madrid Open: Zizou Bergs vs Marin Cilicbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.78
Madrid Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.13
Shymkent: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Buvaysar Gadamauribacked Buvaysar Gadamauri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.07
Shymkent: Sandro Kopp vs Sergey Fominbacked Sergey Fomin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+291.3%+$83.04
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+155.6%+$75
Madrid Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Patrick Kypson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.06
Madrid Open, Qualification: Leolia Jeanjean vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.26
Madrid Open: Petra Marcinko vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintsevabacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.87
Rome: Remy Bertola vs Filip Jianubacked Remy Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.28
Shymkent: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Samuele Pieribacked Samuele Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
Gwangju: August Holmgren vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.23
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+578%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$17.65
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+1,083.5%+$256
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellas Verona FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$89.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed VfB Stuttgart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$16.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$40.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$35.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.