TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$183,058
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$184,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,058 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1980…3845backed Yes0c37,903$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No74c13,681$10,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,497.8771140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No67c13,527$9,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,414.91,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes63c6,332$3,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,976.9324044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No68c5,725$3,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,847.931,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes32c5,383$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.248435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked No39c5,295$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,248.053250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc294…570ebacked Yes11c4,303$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.3616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-71.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes40c3,741$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.9918847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a44…8985backed No38c3,378$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106.79475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick30cpaid+139.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No61c3,203$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.487741.6%32 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No37c2,553$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.7352550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No39c2,474$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.265151%26 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc253…7cf5backed Yes62c2,399$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.621127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed No38c2,179$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.04850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Yes46c2,103$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes41c2,080$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.362045%9 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Yes37c2,048$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.71812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick46cpaid-77.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8803964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ac…a2c9backed No37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.95520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-45.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x987a…40cfbacked Yes47c1,810$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.8830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e19…1495backed Yes62c1,582$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.811172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No56c1,429$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.9618046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7803…c9afbacked Yes20c1,428$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.4922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No37c1,371$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.674030%12 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Yes14c1,328$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.892142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No38c1,246$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.0830448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes61c1,186$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.4411735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No38c1,162$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.126354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes21c1,060$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.714431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No70c1,031$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.5962648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6102445.8%11 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-35.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61014654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Yes30c999.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Yes63c999.9$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.942147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No39c988.77$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.42944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6d9…4c90backed Yes48c968.74$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No42c963.62$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.733745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes11c920.56$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.39450%47 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No70c841.61$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.82254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…6ca1backed Yes16c825.59$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes60c810$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4863148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes12c806.17$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.487953.2%42 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No39c799.98$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.995251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Yes12c789.33$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.723759.5%22 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8796…c744backed Yes10c789$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.91717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes63c778.44$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.841643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Yes13c711.89$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.841643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No54c646.68$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.6315071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2d4…7d90backed Yes15c632.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.930%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes38c624$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.121637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Yes63c620.83$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.121618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-33.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x85b4…7371backed Yes62c595.78$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.3830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes20c583.8$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.382123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No69c561.16$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.3433145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No48c543.32$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.6924349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes22c518.25$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.911315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked Yes47c515$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.05714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-50.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3154751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked No67c499.52$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.96540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a41…1cbbbacked No39c491.33$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.84966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+73.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes40c487.02$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.986943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Yes62c472.84$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+180.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9531…18ffbacked Yes11c438.02$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.182825%7 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-45.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d2c…3ec7backed Yes23c420.46$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6711…1485backed Yes63c408.3$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32df…cce8backed Yes63c400$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Yes39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1562343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7079…718dbacked Yes48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes62c395.77$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.37757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Yes37c390$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.91827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No38c385.06$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.74858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes42c379.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.66529.2%19 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes40c370.59$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.237632.9%25 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes39c363.68$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2626040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62e1…7b41backed Yes63c359.36$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x050e…7543backed Yes53c351.7$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0833…bc88backed Yes33c345.85$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.341241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0454…859ebacked Yes63c331.58$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No39c330.06$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.344753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d46…e9a2backed Yes63c323.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No37c320.36$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.8327049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb234…5b9ebacked Yes62c315.23$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.44650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes62c315.23$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.442842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes44c315.17$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.910938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e9c…bf99backed Yes64c305.75$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.682254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick67cpaid-8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No73c300$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4514544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No39c299.99$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1834847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7d2…3287backed Yes26c299.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid+33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes12c299.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366320.6%13 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5c7…70d1backed Yes62c299.46$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes36c292.3$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.791020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfe8…3684backed Yes36c288.48$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes60c284.67$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.82050%10 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes45c279.36$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.711625%4 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0168…0905backed Yes61c270.29$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.81922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes10c265.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5729637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes59c262.02$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.6635157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes61c248.15$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.377343.8%32 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes51c247.41$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.183540%14 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.