TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x050e…7543

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Asian League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.4
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$414.86
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+154.1%+$320.14
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$185
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.25
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$172.2
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.99
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.99
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$54.6
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.01
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$94.46
Sharks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.7
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$56
Senators vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.1
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$23.37
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-49.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+49.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$21.44
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Will Czechia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$90.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$56.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Puebla vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.