Asian League · resolved market
Ulsan HD FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4af3f05fba67b568d2a5b98fc9d89e803c27990f34686a41bd2fd91592effe25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 43c | 1,675$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.74 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 57c | 1,577$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.3 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 1,042$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.67 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 62c | 405.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.47 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…7543backed Over | 37c | 320$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 11c | 224.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 67c | 147.2$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 68c | 145.87$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 68c | 145.87$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 68c | 115.51$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 35c | 109.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 67c | 57.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked Over | 67c | 40.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a5…7f75backed Over | 67c | 31.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Over | 67c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Gwangju FC (-1.5)Ulsan HD FC won
- Spread: Gwangju FC (-2.5)Ulsan HD FC won
- Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)Ulsan HD FC won
- Ulsan HD FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.