TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd0a5…7f75

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Mls, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.9
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.97
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$19.17
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.39
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.04
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.04
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.25
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.58
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.7
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Pohang Steelers FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.59
Ulsan HD FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.37
All 21 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Will Nashville SC vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.07
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$38.35
Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.87
New York Red Bulls vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.19
Seattle Sounders FC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.16
Will FC Cincinnati vs. Chicago Fire FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$12.89
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.09
Atlanta United FC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$15.59
New England Revolution vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$21.29
CF Montréal vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$40.81
Will Toronto FC vs. Austin FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.95
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Preußen Münster vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.86
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.01
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.95
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$17.53
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$14.04
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.95
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.14
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$10.44
DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.92
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.36per pick47cpaid-86.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.49
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.71
Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.21
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.77
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.1
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.34
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.46
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.93
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$5.42
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid+31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.