TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Seattle Sounders FC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,128
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,984

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,128 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38f0…2768backed Under43c9,016$3,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,865.41540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Over61c5,766$3,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,258.16683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+47.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over57c2,438$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.1997146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under39c2,023$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35b7…bdd5backed Over57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8601100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over58c1,822$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.9947748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over58c1,602$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.98661.6%53 W · 33 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over57c1,571$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.3813046.2%60 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under39c1,092$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.5777751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under43c918.26$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.853243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under40c852.56$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.5510848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over57c751.79$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.1672850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over56c739.71$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.9468550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over57c713.26$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.71323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-66.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under15c499.96$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9948344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Under44c477.27$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2103855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over57c474.94$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.5270249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under12c440.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4992346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under31c354.52$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4158043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over50c351.3$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.3820554.6%112 W · 93 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under39c320$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.891553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over57c293.54$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.2210755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under48c279.65$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5978344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.12532%8 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over67c222.08$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0915676.9%120 W · 36 L+32.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x8c58…0869backed Under43c220$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b98…ae76backed Under43c219$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cd3…56e8backed Over57c216.59$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83be…0190backed Under43c212$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…a05abacked Under43c212$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdde9…4ff7backed Over57c210.53$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f2…4cb2backed Over57c208.18$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc18f…cae4backed Over57c208.08$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1c…4301backed Over57c206.82$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Under39c206.57$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.563622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfd1…ef90backed Over57c205.92$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c83…446cbacked Under43c202$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38bd…194dbacked Over57c201.5$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c1…40bcbacked Under43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa8…8f1abacked Over57c199.47$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x878e…0b3abacked Over57c199.41$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a9…0effbacked Under43c198$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f79…2657backed Under43c197$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5e4…8735backed Under43c197$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under40c196.13$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1324351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd364…8a8fbacked Over57c195.5$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x531d…8e7ebacked Under43c195$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over71c168.04$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.078971.9%64 W · 25 L+17.2wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over72c150.45$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7818774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over57c146.58$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2515458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over57c146.58$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2514151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over57c145.38$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0512254.1%66 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over77c142.01$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9322269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Over77c141.63$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.557962%49 W · 30 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over57c139.19$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.852927.6%8 W · 21 L-7.0wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-57.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over78c139.07$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9919172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755431.5%17 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over68c118.45$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.893,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over53c106$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.784740.4%19 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over43c103.59$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5929460.5%178 W · 116 L+36.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under39c101.02$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.455750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.52352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over46c97.89$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2531158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over58c82.42$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.686357.1%36 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over62c80.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7487154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Over58c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.65133.3%17 W · 34 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under16c76.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0936051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Under40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over44c67.93$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1212571.2%89 W · 36 L+19.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+35.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Over59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+131.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over40c59$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2419052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over75c58.93$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.922263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over57c55$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.769245.7%42 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under41c52.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.511,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1939234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Under45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.511441.2%47 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over42c47.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.326563.1%41 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under56c46.69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.988041.3%33 W · 47 L-11.4wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd0a5…7f75backed Over44c44.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.161464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over63c39.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3796756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Over55c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.959652.1%50 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over55c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7510353.4%55 W · 48 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked Over42c35.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.712055%11 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.094845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.95459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over60c28.43$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.482044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under56c28.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8416656.6%94 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69b5…f7ebbacked Over45c26.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+39%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over67c25.2$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.232065%13 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Under45c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.258853.4%47 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1248…4f6bbacked Over62c24.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under42c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0816531.5%52 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over57c23.91$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.286958%40 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over66c23.64$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0412254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Over66c23.64$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.045757.9%33 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Under51c22.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.361225%3 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-50.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Over53c20.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.752864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7f8…2e4cbacked Over63c19.41$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.15475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+132.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.