TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,654
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,558

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,654 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No21c14,880$3,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,121.315,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No40c10,446$4,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,216.5717753.1%94 W · 83 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes58c7,580$4,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,183.411,30656.9%743 W · 563 L+67.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedb7…8db0backed Yes64c4,705$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,704.64100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes64c4,104$2,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.411,70750.6%863 W · 844 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes64c1,591$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.71,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No36c1,186$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.8347155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No25c1,106$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.032,49942.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L+52.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed Yes45c999.97$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.997838.5%30 W · 48 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+42.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No34c971.38$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.122763%17 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No35c817.4$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.621,76050.3%885 W · 875 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No35c713.78$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.630049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No30c712.06$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.746729.9%20 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No36c701.91$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.061,10946.2%512 W · 597 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No37c625.25$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.671,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No25c568.22$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.292,46740.3%993 W · 1,474 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a77…8b53backed Yes62c538$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.343467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20011546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No36c499.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18014848%71 W · 77 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No6c474$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1210039%39 W · 61 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.543652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No35c379.6$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8416856%94 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No55c363.49$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9220769.6%144 W · 63 L+31.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+34.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x3341…d7e4backed Yes64c353.29$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.294555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No36c346.97$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9193446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Yes64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.510041%41 W · 59 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No20c290$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5814247.2%67 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed No55c280$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.939672.9%70 W · 26 L+19.3wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+145.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010344.7%46 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No31c269.54$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4270842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Yes66c256$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.045671.4%40 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0767…5717backed Yes80c251.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.02862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No35c249.05$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6989955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No19c247.83$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5796846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes79c220$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.41,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6e5…b254backed Yes64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No35c190$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.553148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes66c185.85$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6884347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No55c181.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9619765.5%129 W · 68 L+27.1wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+40.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No55c181.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9615671.8%112 W · 44 L+33.6wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+63.9%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No37c180.51$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7912050%60 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2547…7804backed Yes65c159.99$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.61050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4db7…1cabbacked Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.253748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c8a…23d0backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f42…0524backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No13c152.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1646422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf06…d267backed Yes66c149.55$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.85955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c5f…8eadbacked No21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+49.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes63c135.13$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,10149.7%547 W · 554 L+3.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea87…8066backed No37c135.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503933.3%13 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed No20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518838.8%73 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No28c120.47$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.721,05341.9%441 W · 612 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No37c120$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.414452.1%75 W · 69 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No28c114.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1273850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed Yes64c106.38$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.34447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7328…7f6cbacked No25c104.04$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.54450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No34c101.52$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5210846.3%50 W · 58 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3716152.2%84 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No36c93.42$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.631,43435.2%505 W · 929 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd637…7617backed No70c85.17$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.47771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf3…1dd9backed Yes66c80$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No36c78.81$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6615455.8%86 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc677…e5edbacked Yes64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.13450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes64c75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3711347.8%54 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1824…8854backed Yes66c74.24$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes30c70.81$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5711952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No36c68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.488729.9%26 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No21c62.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0815470.8%109 W · 45 L+16.1wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+13.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No19c60.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.639058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed No35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214934.7%17 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb55…7b4dbacked Yes63c59.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…daa0backed No35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202650%13 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No35c53.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.888256.1%46 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6411…1223backed No75c53.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-52.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No33c51.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.291,95954.6%1,069 W · 890 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027639.1%108 W · 168 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1939954.6%218 W · 181 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1301…2cf7backed Yes61c47.43$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.43966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Yes66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.454753.2%25 W · 22 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No34c44.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2911853.4%63 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No35c42.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9716561.2%101 W · 64 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.816154.7%88 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes65c38.62$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.625538.2%21 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No36c37.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.161,21450.2%610 W · 604 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Yes73c33.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.894161%25 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a52…94cabacked No61c30.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ee…7774backed Yes64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.81241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick25cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3412…e651backed Yes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.85366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0a5…7f75backed No58c29.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf45…3543backed No58c26.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.39450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaccd…befdbacked No63c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa081…77e6backed Yes65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.08850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x452f…b277backed Yes67c22.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.391844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2533…5c8cbacked Yes62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes64c18.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7247860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Yes59c17.39$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.213551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde78…1cf6backed Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.