Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c997e8ea7dec3233847fdf312db2526bf2927fe76a623a176ba361e243e95c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 7,641$3,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,697.91 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 48c | 1,863$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.05 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 50c | 1,795$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.19 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 52c | 1,722$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.23 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 53c | 1,687$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.78 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 1,221$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.71 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 54c | 940.91$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.82 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0a…8521backed Under | 46c | 397.57$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a69…62ddbacked Over | 64c | 300$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Over | 67c | 203.37$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 72c | 194.43$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 44c | 177.89$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 54c | 134.01$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…326fbacked Under | 46c | 115.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 65c | 115.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 54c | 111.53$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 28c | 96.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Over | 53c | 92.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 28c | 84.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 48c | 70.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4b94backed Under | 37c | 59.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 52c | 45.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 62c | 41.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…03fcbacked Under | 30c | 36.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 69c | 34.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Over | 61c | 32.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 50c | 25.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 56c | 21.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed Over | 74c | 19.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a5…7f75backed Over | 63c | 19.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 71c | 17.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…3e9fbacked Over | 72c | 14.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.