Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c7c03c972df3c78569568b6d77b24c6d573ba28a550321416fef8f87b53b8bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4064…f741backed Under | 57c | 11,670$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,069.7 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.31per pick | 50cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe3…c693backed Over | 44c | 4,565$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.14 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 43c | 1,941$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.6 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 1,456$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.45 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 1,422$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.72 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 44c | 912$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.28 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 26c | 815.38$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 28c | 711$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.08 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 45c | 660.99$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.92 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 58c | 646.38$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.53 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6544…4b74backed Over | 56c | 611.49$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 56c | 529$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.76 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 32c | 523.32$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.69 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…1fa9backed Over | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 44c | 465.21$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 45c | 271.79$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.58 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 205.43$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.49 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 56c | 200$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa69c…890ebacked Over | 44c | 185.8$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 32c | 150.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 56c | 145.2$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a69…62ddbacked Over | 58c | 145.04$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Under | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Under | 36c | 140.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.83 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 36c | 135$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 54c | 119.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.19 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 51c | 109.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…39b5backed Over | 46c | 107.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 47c | 107.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 49c | 102.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa063…338fbacked Over | 33c | 100.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 64 | 79.7%51 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb5…55f6backed Over | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 57c | 93.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 46c | 89.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 43c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…b2f3backed Over | 45c | 59.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 70c | 57.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 44c | 53.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 56c | 53.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 57c | 52.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 56c | 44.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…a1bfbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Over | 64c | 31.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 39c | 27.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Over | 45c | 26.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 50c | 25.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 45c | 24.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 55c | 24.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 75 | 74.7%56 W · 19 L | +13.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 43c | 23.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.