TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CF América vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,776
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,671

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,776 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No71c18,804$13,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,402.251,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Yes27c12,866$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,500425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes28c5,555$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.41323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No77c4,542$3,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.838,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes15c2,300$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes29c2,059$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.851,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No77c2,009$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.6636339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c1,823$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.372,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No74c1,758$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.6637540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No72c1,640$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.159452.1%49 W · 45 L+10.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+29.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No77c1,594$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.9284943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes16c1,331$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2086949.3%34 W · 35 L+9.1wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+25.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes28c1,254$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.9965058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Yes26c1,206$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.258155.6%45 W · 36 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf056…0316backed Yes1c1,080$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x987a…40cfbacked No74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed No78c900.28$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.556668.2%45 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes14c765$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.342722.2%6 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-58.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No74c731.3$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.0619356%108 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa233…dfe8backed Yes23c726.72$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.035954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddaf…3de6backed Yes28c710.71$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x621e…6510backed Yes15c670.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x356f…639fbacked No72c557$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.96742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c540.29$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.311,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No61c513.22$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.4521132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed Yes28c482.77$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.491546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes31c433.33$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.431,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dfc…5c8ebacked Yes30c391.07$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes28c321$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8821349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes28c311.59$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2447758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed No77c262$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.662544%11 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25d4…26fdbacked Yes26c254.94$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.02333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+44%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Yes28c250.35$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706842.6%29 W · 39 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-31.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No45c232.34$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6716842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked No78c222.83$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.285343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked No75c212.99$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9915945.9%73 W · 86 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f1…c252backed No72c209.64$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.381533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes19c209.37$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7819963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Yes39c198.32$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.593046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes28c190$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.349535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes28c178.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9944959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2fb…e28fbacked Yes25c174$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ee0…1006backed Yes17c173.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.71560%9 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+78.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Yes19c166.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.894355.8%24 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes28c161.07$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511553%61 W · 54 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes60c152.14$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1815768.2%107 W · 50 L+21.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes28c139.07$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9450746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5746…06cfbacked Yes29c123.24$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.723043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed No75c113.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.317460.8%45 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c111.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.963,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…cb2bbacked Yes15c110.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9644…02fcbacked No75c109.41$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.351250%6 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c3e…8b7cbacked No75c108.67$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.931346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018733.2%62 W · 125 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c40…7c34backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304544.4%20 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes29c101.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3625625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288554.1%46 W · 39 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309340.9%38 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287943%34 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1427…859fbacked No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fad…a796backed Yes36c98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.281050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes28c89.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9938861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed No75c88.36$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.096845.6%31 W · 37 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No52c85.71$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.251,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Yes24c82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No75c81.78$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6594848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd6…d9f7backed Yes15c80$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+103.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…04fbbacked Yes22c78.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.111618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-61.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c7c…1439backed Yes28c78.04$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.85520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Yes28c77.24$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.89741.2%40 W · 57 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Yes28c75.51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1319955.8%111 W · 88 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes26c75.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.471619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked No75c73.15$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.965172.5%37 W · 14 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes28c72.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205020%10 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No70c70.4$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.121,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabd8…553cbacked No74c67.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.121883.3%15 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick70cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes76c65.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.883372.7%24 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+45.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Yes28c63.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7515654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No80c63.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9763657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc86b…1d8ebacked Yes20c62.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.731060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf75b…ed74backed Yes28c57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.682245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No74c56.8$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9713828.3%39 W · 99 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No72c54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1216740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154454.5%24 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed No74c50.68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1817261%105 W · 67 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No77c50.44$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.545,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d3…aafbbacked Yes26c50.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.223231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.570055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed No74c47.29$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.36756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaead…12e1backed Yes28c42.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…d90ebacked Yes64c41.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.352254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc203…8beebacked Yes31c40.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.471369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes26c39.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2234155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0a5…7f75backed Yes62c35.52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.02650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked Yes60c33.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.024763.8%30 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb71…288ebacked No75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.672185.7%18 W · 3 L+5.1wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+48.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.