TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-04-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,314
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,346

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,314 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes43c42,025$18,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,128.51,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No70c20,934$14,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,203.942,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No68c19,672$13,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,2915,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes35c14,820$5,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,225.264936.7%18 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No65c12,321$7,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,348.941,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Yes16c11,455$1,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,875.93425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No56c10,356$5,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,564.036355.6%35 W · 28 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes8c7,414$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb22…6478backed Yes36c6,132$2,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,214.4829446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No61c4,740$2,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,847.2842962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Yes18c4,462$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.82445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed No57c4,213$2,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,828.684100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No64c4,000$2,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4302766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c3,734$2,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.328,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked No71c3,130$2,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.315100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No61c2,946$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.123,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Yes40c2,672$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.522544%11 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes40c1,750$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7006048.3%29 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No67c1,681$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.0150746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No57c1,535$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.1965058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed No61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5852166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes32c1,463$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.9737540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes35c1,374$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.2236339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5746…06cfbacked No68c1,146$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.423043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Yes40c1,141$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.515343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No70c1,105$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.571,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No65c1,099$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.041,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36023057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed No60c983.33$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes33c855.22$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.3485220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No58c844.34$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.861,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes34c838.18$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.4584943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed No69c647.57$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.748155.6%45 W · 36 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No61c600$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2341,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Yes32c600$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes43c599$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.9850643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes14c509.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.621132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes10c505.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506949.3%34 W · 35 L+9.1wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+25.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No59c504.86$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.8710146.5%47 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed No60c501.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.414555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Yes39c499.95$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.983043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No59c445$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.4530754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Yes16c432.07$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.893046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No63c399.97$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9917560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No57c351.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.1247758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3061…916ebacked Yes44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No63c340.43$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.641,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No60c333.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3327549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No65c333.16$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.278261%50 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No61c327.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.833266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes35c319$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.344139%16 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed Yes16c318.23$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes5c315.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157420.3%15 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No60c307.88$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.961,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No61c305.3$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.699741.2%40 W · 57 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked No64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No69c271.78$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3419356%108 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeac5…cab7backed Yes38c262.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-46.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b2e…289dbacked Yes35c260$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+69.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No60c239$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.621349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No61c222$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.581258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes29c209.52$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Yes7c203.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.251838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked No54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922979.3%23 W · 6 L+6.7wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+40.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xa163…2719backed Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-61.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No68c191.81$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5526160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes15c190$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.59710.3%10 W · 87 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-72.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes15c189.13$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3715945.9%73 W · 86 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed No54c185.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.131855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes42c174.97$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4994848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No60c174.57$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8357157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No60c174.57$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8347756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No60c174.57$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8341256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed No60c163.72$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4916459.8%98 W · 66 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No65c160.54$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7563657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No62c155$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.752,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No65c152.67$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.439454.3%51 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43c7…d727backed No73c137.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.43053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea80…41afbacked Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502030%6 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes16c127$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4544843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed4f…6134backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes36c124$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2718742.2%79 W · 108 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes34c119.83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7426749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed No74c118.95$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315865.5%38 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No65c117.34$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0710846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f1…c252backed Yes33c117.19$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.291533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes46c116.02$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.374452.3%23 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No60c115.24$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.941,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked No72c105.21$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.728265.9%54 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3570055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…ced8backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No60c99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4921359.6%127 W · 86 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked No68c97.56$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.157867.9%53 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa233…dfe8backed No57c94.58$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.035954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes42c91$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2222853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed No55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.914454.5%24 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No62c90$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.25060%30 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.