TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xea80…41af

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Mls, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 57 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-07-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Aldosivi end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.83
Will Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.28
Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will CF América win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+111.5%+$225.64
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$80.9
Will CD Guadalajara vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.74
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+187.3%+$43.09
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Club Puebla win on 2026-07-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$4.3
Will FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will CF América win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$92.86
Will CF América win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.77
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-42.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.99
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.36
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.67
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$185.43
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+60%+$12
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.23
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$7.11
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+28.8%+$3.46
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+63.9%+$14.07
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$8.21
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$58
All 16 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$31.83
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+194.1%+$21.35
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$185
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$22.45
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$46.36
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+93.8%+$59.07
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+39%+$26.13
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+66.7%+$30
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$26
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$28.07
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+43.3%+$32.05
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+27.7%+$38.46
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+41.8%+$81.56
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+60.7%+$262.14
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$529Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+140.9%+$745.19
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$234
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+133%+$513.53
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.05
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$75.34
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+39.4%+$93.05
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+52.8%+$71.27
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+25.5%+$14.79
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$246
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$146.93
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+82.8%+$78.63
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+71.6%+$35.8
Will Girona FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 13 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+35.1%+$8.78
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$345
Will FC Famalicão win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$176
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+32.1%+$82.59
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+34.9%+$149.57
Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+35.1%+$100.49
Will CD Santa Clara vs. FC Arouca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+108.3%+$36.83
All 9 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+135.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-58.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$14.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.