Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Famalicão win on 2025-12-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49b961d859378350533ed697638a06ff139f0f2fae6ef3cf86e7868fb1a9b539
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 64c | 15,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 36c | 12,641$4,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,090.52 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 8,571$3,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,273.91 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Yes | 64c | 7,098$4,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,542.73 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 35c | 4,286$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.9 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 36c | 3,878$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.72 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 35c | 3,133$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.2 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 2,704$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.22 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 2,508$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.3 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 51c | 1,974$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 53c | 1,937$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.88 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 63c | 1,634$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.33 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Yes | 65c | 798.5$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.03 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 64c | 731.13$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.07 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…09aebacked Yes | 31c | 636.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 55c | 571.59$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 65c | 555.93$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.67 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Yes | 9c | 514.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f31…2d48backed Yes | 64c | 405.11$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 35c | 399.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x895e…8f2cbacked Yes | 65c | 377.91$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…054ebacked Yes | 7c | 350$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea80…41afbacked Yes | 65c | 272.13$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 64c | 248.35$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.02 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 30c | 224.37$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…5ba1backed Yes | 6c | 212.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked No | 37c | 189.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 60c | 177.86$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Yes | 15c | 174.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 61c | 165$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 34c | 162.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 38c | 155.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.16 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…1a9cbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed No | 35c | 145$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 35c | 119.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 51c | 116.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 18c | 116.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Yes | 17c | 109.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 33c | 106.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabca…b77ebacked Yes | 51c | 102.25$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8903…ac56backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 36c | 97.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 67c | 97.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 59c | 89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 29c | 86.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 53c | 75.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 71c | 71.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 36c | 66.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Yes | 36c | 64.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2a…37f4backed No | 38c | 62.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 62c | 51.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 49c | 50.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa87a…410bbacked Yes | 62c | 47.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 36c | 34.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked No | 35c | 32.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefc…62d8backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…931abacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbef4…2ff5backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes | 56c | 28.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Yes | 65c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 44c | 26.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 70c | 25.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 62c | 24.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed Yes | 65c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Yes | 65c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8280…a6d2backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 61c | 19.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…caa4backed Yes | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 62c | 16.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2025-12-27?this page
- Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2025-12-27?Yes won
- Will FC Famalicão vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.