South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-07-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefd096c61bcd23bfac951046113f1368a878fc83542608ff27cf6cd5116bd0be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 9c | 9,896$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.03 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 15c | 4,332$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.76 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 33c | 3,536$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.66 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,527$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.74 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 10c | 1,378$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.08 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed No | 19c | 864.08$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 66c | 769$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.42 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 67c | 768.58$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.55 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 65c | 768.2$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.75 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 688.71$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.66 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 16c | 638.93$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.3 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 65c | 599.99$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.99 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 9c | 572.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 19c | 435.26$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.7 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked No | 22c | 403.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.41 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 21c | 397.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.7 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 80c | 372.4$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.15 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…994dbacked No | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…03bbbacked No | 16c | 326.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 322.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.86 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 66c | 296.17$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.39 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 18c | 286.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 67c | 262.5$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.88 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Yes | 33c | 242.74$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.74 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 35c | 228.57$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.57 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 66c | 208.57$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.57 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked No | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 73c | 188$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed No | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 79c | 176.32$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 13c | 155$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 77c | 151.56$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf499…1b5bbacked No | 56c | 149.25$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed No | 21c | 141.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 66c | 140$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked No | 19c | 128.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 126.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 64c | 113$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 18c | 80.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460b…4d66backed No | 68c | 73.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea80…41afbacked Yes | 35c | 66.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff5…655bbacked Yes | 33c | 60.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 24c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 66c | 55.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 60c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 65c | 50.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 35c | 48.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Yes | 68c | 41.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +10.8wins | +0.35per pick | 46cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 67c | 36.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 37c | 29.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Yes | 78c | 25.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-07-18?this page
- Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?No won
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-07-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.