Premier League · resolved market
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66125624d1739538fc355fe4655da5bbee416dff64aef59fb109911a7334a7f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $507,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $500,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $507,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 406 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed No | 65c | 96,947$63,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,931.57 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 44,519$14,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,546.85 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes | 38c | 26,419$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 38c | 25,022$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 22,844$5,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,314.84 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked No | 70c | 21,428$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,428.43 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 36c | 21,378$7,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,639.28 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f1…9d5ebacked Yes | 35c | 17,000$5,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,950 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked No | 65c | 15,655$10,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,555.76 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 35c | 14,306$5,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,007 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed No | 64c | 10,895$6,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,913.25 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…d0bbbacked Yes | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7469…cbc5backed Yes | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 37c | 9,334$3,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,470.21 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 62c | 8,424$5,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,201.19 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 63c | 7,535$4,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,763.45 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 35c | 7,260$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.12 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed No | 66c | 7,030$4,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.78 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 63c | 6,279$3,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.36 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 5,822$3,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.5 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Yes | 35c | 4,913$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.56 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…22a3backed No | 65c | 4,500$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 35c | 4,400$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed Yes | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 64c | 3,898$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.52 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 73c | 3,776$2,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.58 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 36c | 3,459$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.57 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yes | 36c | 2,900$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 35c | 2,613$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.66 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked No | 79c | 2,145$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.57 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 29c | 2,134$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed No | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 35c | 2,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Yes | 36c | 1,903$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.47 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 64c | 1,890$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.76 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed No | 65c | 1,758$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.56 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 35c | 1,714$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed Yes | 36c | 1,710$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.63 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Yes | 35c | 1,700$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 34c | 1,700$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 33c | 1,600$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…3a79backed Yes | 37c | 1,403$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 80c | 1,243$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.6 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4926…4d05backed Yes | 35c | 1,237$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 26c | 1,001$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.75 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Yes | 36c | 916.24$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.26 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 37c | 900$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 248 | 44.4%110 W · 138 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…6c23backed Yes | 35c | 900$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 64c | 891.12$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 63c | 871.04$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.28 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb994…bf12backed Yes | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7652…c6c5backed Yes | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Yes | 35c | 800$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed No | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 35c | 768.14$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.85 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Yes | 26c | 767.42$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.39 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 36c | 765.17$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.38 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 62c | 761.96$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.54 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 35c | 757.41$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.2 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec0…497bbacked No | 68c | 750$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 36c | 728.29$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.55 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7e3ebacked Yes | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 26c | 692.67$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.09 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf957…d5a6backed Yes | 19c | 677.16$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.68 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5448…3cecbacked No | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 75c | 641.89$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…3ffebacked Yes | 37c | 626.25$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 36c | 622.61$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.81 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed No | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed No | 67c | 602.24$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.74 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 36c | 599.69$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.89 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Yes | 35c | 571.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1021…e648backed Yes | 35c | 554.29$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked No | 64c | 546.88$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.88 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb470…eb53backed No | 65c | 538.46$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.46 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 36c | 534.88$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.34 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed No | 62c | 528.52$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.74 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba79…4c9ebacked No | 64c | 506.25$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes | 36c | 500$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f5…1eb3backed Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca5…a81dbacked No | 64c | 473.94$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.62 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 37c | 463.16$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Yes | 37c | 462$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.94 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 66c | 460$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 62c | 452$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.76 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Yes | 34c | 450$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.