Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74b9a7f7cc4f3ec4ba2a5508660124f5eb8f1cdb7acedf5d53b12a51d9591e8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $694,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $727,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $694,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 778 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 37c | 153,306$56,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,723.31 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 129,493$85,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,609.89 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 63c | 75,921$47,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,100.06 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 63c | 65,750$41,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,327.47 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked Yes | 28c | 37,207$10,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,488.13 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 37c | 33,688$12,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,312.89 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 36c | 22,931$8,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,255.31 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 36c | 21,945$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,900 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 64c | 20,000$12,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,299.94 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 37c | 18,755$6,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,972.52 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 63c | 15,263$9,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,609.73 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 36c | 15,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed No | 62c | 12,859$7,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,886.46 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 12,355$7,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,664.47 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41bc…c75bbacked Yes | 37c | 11,232$4,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,201.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 64c | 9,540$6,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,417.84 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 63c | 8,089$5,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986.51 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +9.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 63c | 7,806$4,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,888.37 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 37c | 7,482$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,746.78 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 7,245$5,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.44 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 7,050$4,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.18 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 63c | 7,000$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 64c | 6,543$4,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.81 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes | 36c | 6,488$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.73 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 71c | 6,049$4,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.04 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 62c | 5,566$3,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.49 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 64c | 5,435$3,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.35 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 63c | 4,973$3,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.24 | 465 | 51.8%241 W · 224 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 63c | 4,521$2,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.14 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 67c | 4,480$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.64 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed No | 76c | 4,287$3,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.83 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef45…1905backed Yes | 39c | 4,065$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 64c | 4,039$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.5 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.99 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Yes | 36c | 3,995$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.38 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Yes | 35c | 3,700$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 32c | 3,438$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbc…71c1backed No | 64c | 3,360$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 36c | 3,333$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes | 37c | 3,200$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 36c | 3,064$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.86 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Yes | 11c | 3,018$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 64c | 2,538$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.12 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 63c | 2,471$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.08 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…2927backed Yes | 35c | 2,369$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.13 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked No | 64c | 2,322$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.88 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 65c | 2,232$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.2 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…39bdbacked Yes | 23c | 2,200$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes | 36c | 2,103$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.4 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 36c | 2,076$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 63c | 2,046$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.16 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…6a9bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.99 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.97 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 36c | 1,999$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.82 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f4f4backed Yes | 33c | 1,776$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.6 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 63c | 1,752$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.38 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Yes | 37c | 1,715$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed Yes | 38c | 1,693$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.52 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…1ef9backed Yes | 36c | 1,667$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed No | 62c | 1,642$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.98 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 37c | 1,622$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad4…f293backed Yes | 37c | 1,622$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…27ffbacked Yes | 37c | 1,609$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.08 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…9133backed Yes | 39c | 1,603$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.05 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 64c | 1,600$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 62c | 1,600$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 64c | 1,600$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.98 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdea1…5a65backed Yes | 37c | 1,589$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…43cdbacked Yes | 35c | 1,579$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.31 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbb…53c4backed Yes | 39c | 1,537$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 68c | 1,516$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.7 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 63c | 1,499$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.14 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…5a59backed Yes | 35c | 1,477$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 34c | 1,438$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.9 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 36c | 1,420$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.97 | 202 | 46.5%94 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Yes | 37c | 1,404$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.82 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Yes | 18c | 1,355$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.08 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 38c | 1,337$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.15 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…d224backed Yes | 35c | 1,328$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 35c | 1,290$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 65c | 1,278$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.63 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Yes | 36c | 1,243$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.75 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed No | 64c | 1,243$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.46 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 65c | 1,200$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 63c | 1,194$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 38c | 1,134$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 64c | 1,099$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.62 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 64c | 1,085$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.6 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 27c | 1,037$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Yes | 29c | 1,032$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed No | 64c | 1,023$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.07 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.