TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd347…39bd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Serie A, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 58 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST2544%11 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$169.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$219.48
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$77.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$506
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$149.6
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$86.25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+84.7%+$327.29
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$133.5
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$118
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+143.9%+$647.56
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+163.2%+$84.93
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$74
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$43.33
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+108.3%+$32.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21.72
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Brentford win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$32.85
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+47.1%+$18.82
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.58
All 25 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$276
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$95.76
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$142.1
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+127.3%+$156.8
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$75.87
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+143.9%+$541.92
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$142.09
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+117.4%+$147.91
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+127.3%+$50.91
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+156.4%+$62.56
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+72.4%+$28.97
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+33.3%+$13.32
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+78.6%+$23.57
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$255.15
Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$65.76
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$137
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+63.9%+$19.18
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$42.28
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$31.43
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+87.4%+$87.38
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+61.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+85.5%+$34.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.