TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,281
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,045

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,281 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes43c29,999$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,999.7210952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes52c24,679$12,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,795.6427737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c22,029$13,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,277.682,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed No49c20,001$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,200.51728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No48c19,217$9,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,992.8111848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes52c8,781$4,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,565.148144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No51c5,370$2,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,618.0896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No49c5,095$2,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,598.6420544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Yes50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No63c2,305$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.915550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes51c2,276$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.7945547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ef…d497backed No49c2,178$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.55425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes54c1,923$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.4212950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes53c1,906$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.8824939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No49c1,786$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.897938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed No49c1,651$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.831637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No46c1,600$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.992941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.9536630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ff…62ccbacked Yes50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.863964.1%25 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes2c1,236$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.562638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No67c1,142$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.9459240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No55c1,091$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.9122237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No49c1,054$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.3721548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd371…4478backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001010%1 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddca…239abacked Yes47c916.07$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.683036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No49c849.9$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.0538744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes51c839$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.7441943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4161963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes51c790.86$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4042737%10 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6695…6f1abacked Yes51c776.47$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick64cpaid-60.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked No48c677.54$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.325658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9e9…b8cfbacked Yes51c627.45$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes39c615.38$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3123844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3065747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3068659.3%51 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a6…fa77backed Yes51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad1b…5da0backed Yes54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed Yes10c531$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.11618.8%3 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick7cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No49c512.93$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.8613040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked No50c510$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2551947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002055%11 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+49.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes51c490$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.912452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes52c430.77$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22233951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked No49c423.24$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.851353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked No49c408.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.583164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+25.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+42%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007538.7%29 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x996b…95d4backed Yes49c399.18$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a51…bde9backed Yes51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20070%0 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No49c376.96$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.2511153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No49c365.65$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.822347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes16c345.15$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.224959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes22c335$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.924238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes52c330.33$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1714845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No46c324.96$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.1413550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No56c322.68$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.992774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+46.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b1a…8480backed Yes52c307.69$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+59.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No48c300.03$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.084242.9%18 W · 24 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15612540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508644.2%38 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2422…28febacked Yes52c273.08$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1421650%8 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0624…053fbacked Yes18c250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No49c249.95$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4710744.9%48 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No49c236.74$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.65935.6%21 W · 38 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…82b4backed Yes52c229.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes51c220.21$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.9944753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076e…a6a4backed Yes35c220$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No76c216.07$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.141,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes51c210$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10719549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No48c209.98$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1914742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210451%53 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001090%9 W · 1 L+4.4wins+0.44per pick46cpaid+106.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10214254.2%77 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a9c…5480backed No49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.41926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.6wins-0.24per pick50cpaid-46.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004126.8%11 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-42%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081650%8 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No46c199.99$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9916842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005563.6%35 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005841.4%24 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a9…05ddbacked Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes52c192.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb49…cc2cbacked Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfff1…d6dabacked Yes52c179.6$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c54…489fbacked Yes53c169.81$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906448.4%31 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Yes51c166$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.662650%13 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Yes51c158.82$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60d3…4cb9backed No49c157.14$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.14875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes52c153.18$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.85947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No60c148.74$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2613639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda5c…ed5bbacked Yes51c147.25$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Yes51c147.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758854.5%48 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3138…b523backed Yes53c131.77$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.