Serie A · resolved market
Will Udinese Calcio vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d6614f0195cacdc17fe0b4bdd79f19061379213c07654d4b3af737c8478e20a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 2,767$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.2 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 71c | 1,393$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.98 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 1,117$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.3 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 35c | 1,091$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.96 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 29c | 539$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.31 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 54c | 371.74$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…30b5backed No | 62c | 350.88$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 38c | 296.88$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.81 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 45c | 242.57$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.2 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 232.34$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.71 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes | 29c | 208$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 28c | 191.07$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Yes | 34c | 154$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 76c | 130.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…56cbbacked Yes | 24c | 125.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 37c | 106.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Yes | 29c | 103$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc587…1630backed No | 72c | 97.92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 23c | 92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b99…db9abacked No | 58c | 80.29$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 24c | 79.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 14c | 70$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed No | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 22c | 63.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 22c | 60.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…0b91backed No | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 72c | 57.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 72cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed No | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked No | 71c | 53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 43c | 46.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked No | 71c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked No | 71c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked No | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed No | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 20.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bb…fb26backed No | 73c | 17.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed No | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Udinese Calcio vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?this page
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-14?No won
- Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.