TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeec4…30b5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Weather, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 55 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
AI — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.02
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$24.53
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$82.02
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.45 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$23
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.5
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.19
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $700b on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$138
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$87.78
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+230%+$45.57
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$44.78
ChatGPT Outage by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$86.84
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1612.5%2 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-81%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.37
Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.37
Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
Will Marco Rubio be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Peter Attia be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.37
Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.72
Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+47.2%+$12.5
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Quentin Tarantino be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.9
Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$6.84
Will the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$31.14
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+117.1%+$69.59
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.71
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Fact Check: is L.A. U-Haul attack perp a U.S. Citizen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.87
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$282.66
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+35.5%+$66.02
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+471.4%+$82.52
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$18.07
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+177.8%+$38.4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$31.3
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Carnita Atwater win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Adam Kurtz win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Tim Cyr win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$28.4
Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
Will Ben Midgley win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Cornyn flip Paxton for Texas Rep Senate Primary Winner by March 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.59
2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds under 15% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
All 11 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$49.6
The Bondi Parlay (Feb 27)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+52.7%+$41.4
Will Palantir dip to $111 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Tesla dip to $360 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,860 on the final trading day of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$57.54
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,700 on the final trading day of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $200 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+83.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+190.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$59
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+53.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$53.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+55.4%+$21.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+27.9%+$79.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.