Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f89ec485bb39d601d2cca2421d6b46b76b62a2cfe79bafc242132af23b80b15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 29c | 8,500$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 5,162$3,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.96 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 2c | 3,370$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 70c | 2,656$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.01 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 70c | 2,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 71c | 2,141$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.99 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 2,009$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.61 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 1,928$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.15 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 80c | 1,389$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.96 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…a2ebbacked No | 71c | 1,240$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 75c | 1,202$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.51 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,110$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fd…9429backed Yes | 8c | 1,107$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -49%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 22c | 874.13$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.58 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 828.13$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.09 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes | 29c | 766.67$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 28c | 545.74$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.07 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb960…8c47backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed No | 71c | 495.92$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.82 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 70c | 471$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.3 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b3…70d9backed No | 71c | 446.48$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d0…7b84backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f7…314abacked No | 71c | 342.25$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f57…7298backed No | 71c | 315.49$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…30b5backed No | 76c | 285.7$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 28c | 273.61$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.61 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 72c | 254.17$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.17 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36be…30bcbacked No | 71c | 252.11$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed No | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2724…b190backed No | 71c | 222.54$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2f…0adcbacked No | 71c | 221.13$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes | 30c | 193.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c2…b4f4backed No | 71c | 187.32$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 71c | 186.31$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…06cfbacked No | 71c | 178.87$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed Yes | 29c | 174.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 13c | 174.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 17c | 152.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cb…6a34backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…5524backed No | 72c | 102.78$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85dc…a6b7backed Yes | 29c | 101.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd8…5c53backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3df3backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe924…b2c7backed No | 72c | 97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f6…9538backed Yes | 29c | 85.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 74c | 82.43$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 28c | 74.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…8174backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 25c | 68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes | 30c | 67.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ef…dc51backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 71c | 57.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…0b91backed No | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -7.0wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 22c | 51.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Yes | 29c | 48.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed No | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 26c | 39.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed No | 71c | 32.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed No | 71c | 20.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 71c | 14.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-14?Yes won
- Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.