TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x58c9…8174

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
288
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Lol, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 58 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST9851%50 W · 48 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$181.32
Hawks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,395Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,395
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+295.9%+$44.82
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$133.46
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+44.9%+$404.35
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$832Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+334.8%+$2,784.89
Bucks vs. Spursbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$146.96
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+426.3%+$2,025
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$351.81
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+300%+$678.15
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+132.6%+$678.91
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+334.8%+$497.32
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+33.3%+$100
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+92.3%+$276.92
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Spurs vs. Hawksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+75.4%+$226.32
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT4560%27 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+83%+$45.31
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.05
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$26.55
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$36.06
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT4468.2%30 W · 14 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+31.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.96
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$854
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,597Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,597.37
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$637.98
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,289Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$1,140.03
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,271Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$2,009.69
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,465Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,465
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,575Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,925
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,015Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$4,485
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,000
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,613Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,612.75
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,355Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$2,145
LoL: DN SOOPers vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$1,100
LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,080Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,920
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,419Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$2,079.6
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$2,384.99
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.9
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.07
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,024Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$1,176
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$29.26
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$3,600
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,380.18
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$514.99
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+37.9%+$7.58
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+44.9%+$13.48
Will Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6.43
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+66.7%+$10
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+25%+$5
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.1
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+532.9%+$378.9
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.15
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.15
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.7
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.75
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.85
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+52%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$185.24
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+400%+$800
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,014.96
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$11.76
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+122.5%+$49
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+144.4%+$65
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$18
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$552
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-46.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+60.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.31
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$610
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$28.6
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$114.28
All 4 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 secondsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$517
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,029Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,029.3
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$185.87
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$432.13
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oeiras 3: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Jonas Forejtekbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$110.7
Busan: Ui-Sung Park vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked Ui-Sung Park · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Sarasota: Garrett Johns vs Daniel Dutra da Silvabacked Daniel Dutra da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$35.18
All 3 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$10.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+269.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Union Berlin vs. Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+638.8%+$300.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-2.5)backed North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.32
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,750
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Utahbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Islanders vs. Jetsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$510
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$275.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide United FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$31.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will between 16 and 19 named storms occur in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$60.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement by Dec 31 on Friday over 25%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.