TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,426,692
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,973,866

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,426,692 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1cfc…b8e0backed Yes4c356,459$14,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,087.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+76.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…738abacked Yes2c129,843$2,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,651.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2502…02e0backed Yes2c123,751$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.891625%4 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes3c85,944$2,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,417.896883.6%25 W · 663 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-59.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc15…2182backed Yes3c75,308$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,098.3230%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ab…7555backed Yes1c68,788$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7112…adc7backed Yes3c59,456$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.94425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid-44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x155e…69b7backed Yes3c53,294$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.634924.5%12 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3893…3c82backed Yes3c50,889$1,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62db…f6c6backed Yes2c50,011$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick5cpaid+73.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes1c41,135$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.1892.2%2 W · 87 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-80.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8eb…01c7backed Yes3c33,766$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+48.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e4…471abacked Yes1c23,085$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.0215022.7%34 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+43%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e66…c5a2backed Yes0c22,994$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x042a…b153backed Yes2c19,318$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.651533.3%5 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x64d0…40b4backed Yes4c18,222$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50a4…4232backed Yes6c17,314$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes2c17,033$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.27618.4%14 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-49.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Yes7c16,208$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick25cpaid+99.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x665b…f8f8backed Yes1c15,886$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd96…8beebacked Yes4c15,864$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc6e…da08backed Yes3c15,445$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.1930%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c69…8b74backed Yes2c15,142$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.33714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6276…2dd9backed Yes4c14,930$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.221827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+39.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes1c14,877$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.521344.5%6 W · 128 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes3c13,965$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.822344.3%10 W · 224 L+0.2wins0.00per pick4cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xede1…bb0fbacked Yes4c13,494$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa500…fa29backed Yes2c13,084$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.5130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca76…28b3backed Yes5c13,011$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.96933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa860…442fbacked Yes1c12,093$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Yes2c11,526$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick40cpaid-73.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x77e4…5032backed Yes2c10,946$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes1c10,100$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.91018.9%9 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick8cpaid+115.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a2b…af20backed Yes1c10,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204032.5%13 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6c3…b7d3backed Yes1c9,809$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick11cpaid+46.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes3c9,523$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.551152.6%3 W · 112 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-47%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb81…1df8backed Yes3c9,496$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31750%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes3c8,890$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.552117.1%15 W · 196 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c8,794$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.111,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76d2…d33bbacked Yes7c8,442$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe86c…7df1backed Yes3c7,866$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38e3…ce1dbacked Yes1c7,811$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed Yes3c7,737$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.86806.3%5 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick5cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes3c7,425$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.722543.5%9 W · 245 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2545…d034backed Yes7c7,423$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes3c7,420$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.87803.8%3 W · 77 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507a…be1fbacked Yes3c7,183$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.993417.6%6 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick12cpaid-16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc553…b054backed Yes3c7,050$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.85714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-80.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes3c6,826$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.61458.9%4 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d15…2f64backed Yes3c6,814$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes3c6,489$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.336311.1%7 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+117.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes3c6,000$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18410928.4%31 W · 78 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e19…bd99backed Yes2c5,316$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.811020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-67.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x287a…ac94backed Yes5c5,060$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.23333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes4c4,968$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.718036.7%66 W · 114 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7429…e40dbacked Yes7c4,904$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes4c4,738$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.19772.6%2 W · 75 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-64.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea2…581ebacked Yes2c4,731$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.97205%1 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick13cpaid-85.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4999…cc96backed Yes2c4,623$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100140%0 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes4c4,399$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.044766.5%31 W · 445 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b90…62d6backed Yes1c4,396$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ac…76debacked Yes4c4,225$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.29633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0218…52c0backed Yes5c4,215$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.13559.1%5 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid+54.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes2c4,200$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.94440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698a…ab38backed Yes4c4,176$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes4c4,165$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.98446.8%3 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x449d…fee5backed Yes3c3,683$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf48…6f13backed Yes2c3,593$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.61414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e32…535bbacked Yes1c3,488$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7728430.3%86 W · 198 L+0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59cd…716fbacked Yes0c3,422$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.27966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+135%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f87…f277backed Yes5c3,351$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.71936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51c7…71b4backed Yes0c3,067$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99f…6c1dbacked Yes2c3,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ff2…b81fbacked Yes2c2,811$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9170…6ecfbacked Yes4c2,801$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10240%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b01…5e86backed Yes2c2,640$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551a…0d27backed Yes1c2,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f32…a15cbacked Yes3c2,284$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.22per pick23cpaid+30.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4291…5b4cbacked Yes1c2,235$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes5c2,229$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4824110.8%26 W · 215 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes1c2,227$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4719742.6%84 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes3c2,089$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.781425.6%8 W · 134 L-27.2wins-0.19per pick25cpaid-58.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes5c2,048$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.19210%0 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc19e…c91ebacked Yes2c2,044$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x048e…6e41backed Yes2c2,030$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502313%3 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-73.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdec2…b015backed Yes4c2,021$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.541020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-60.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…65b9backed Yes2c1,982$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+80.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a6…24d4backed Yes3c1,947$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick14cpaid+233.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x370f…193fbacked Yes2c1,925$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3714…6b9fbacked Yes3c1,923$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes4c1,909$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6331534%107 W · 208 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe4d…912bbacked Yes9c1,859$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3c…52c6backed Yes2c1,849$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Yes4c1,800$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656927.5%19 W · 50 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0a9…707abacked Yes2c1,790$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51b6backed Yes6c1,730$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.343834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ce0…5513backed Yes3c1,695$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033d…af05backed Yes3c1,674$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.411947.4%9 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes2c1,673$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.44537.5%4 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes4c1,607$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4214027.9%39 W · 101 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-38.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.