TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,981,656
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,763,033

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,981,656 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7744…999ebacked Yes1c383,192$4,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,691.481315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-77.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca76…28b3backed No36c350,015$124,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225,439.55933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked No38c193,257$72,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120,563.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick25cpaid+99.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47f5…934dbacked Yes2c177,492$4,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,381.47420.3%15 W · 59 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcac9…200bbacked Yes48c151,614$72,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,471.54955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7177…ddefbacked No69c129,336$89,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,188.694459.1%26 W · 18 L+6.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+29.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x34d7…b2e7backed Yes56c125,050$69,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,948.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1c…4d4dbacked Yes72c124,055$89,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,272.955750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71ca…3501backed Yes75c114,157$85,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,811.521533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x76ba…6655backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Yes74c95,639$70,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,421.53922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.9wins-0.43per pick66cpaid-54.2%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xac59…580bbacked Yes23c77,554$17,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,925.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a84…6878backed Yes78c71,965$56,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,332.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes27c60,092$16,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,245.9218530.3%56 W · 129 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-50.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e2…6e12backed Yes51c58,508$29,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,625.041735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-49.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa676…1c22backed Yes2c54,000$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.21526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick21cpaid-43.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3cf…13a3backed Yes75c46,399$34,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,907.8220%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf092…9ea4backed Yes56c43,580$24,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,280.1230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes58c35,725$20,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,761.171866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6276…2dd9backed Yes64c32,000$20,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,389.991827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+39.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd31…e0e3backed Yes14c30,246$4,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,098.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac69…b80ebacked Yes22c29,627$6,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,380.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8bb…0d1dbacked No40c29,572$11,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,616.42666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2a6…06f9backed Yes8c28,915$2,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,290.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x090b…ec7fbacked Yes50c28,834$14,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,493.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd902…8d9dbacked Yes23c27,729$6,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,474.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes65c25,019$16,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,137.647357.5%42 W · 31 L+10.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes67c24,144$16,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,103.61428.6%4 W · 10 L-4.2wins-0.30per pick59cpaid-61.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x053f…2c01backed Yes68c22,764$15,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,439.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84e7…5f44backed Yes22c22,113$4,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,858.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x866d…bf31backed Yes70c21,685$15,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,075.78757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18d…f38cbacked Yes70c21,341$14,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,847.391283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6f7…ba84backed Yes39c20,560$8,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,020.8150%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8926…5aacbacked No24c20,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+83.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes1c20,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-48.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa588…cf6bbacked Yes16c19,900$3,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,156.2930%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x291f…6c53backed Yes48c19,585$9,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,407.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x954f…025dbacked Yes38c19,400$7,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,36850%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd86e…ee3ebacked Yes22c19,131$4,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,179.721127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-59.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf305…4c09backed Yes20c19,045$3,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,856.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecef…558abacked Yes52c18,816$9,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,823.02450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe71a…66ebbacked No42c18,700$7,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,8461100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c4c…8419backed Yes58c18,700$10,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,84610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35bb…009bbacked No51c18,519$9,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,100.68966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b63…1147backed Yes80c18,120$14,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,482.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes0c17,523$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.051344.5%6 W · 128 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6e…b45bbacked No79c17,247$13,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,685.751323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-70.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cc3…90c9backed Yes5c17,213$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.8630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c31…23cbbacked Yes63c16,959$10,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,659.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes58c16,010$9,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,25613334.6%46 W · 87 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a25…2638backed Yes64c15,803$10,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,042.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed No61c15,218$9,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,996.9310127.7%28 W · 73 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x981b…df8abacked Yes68c14,930$10,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,186.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa860…442fbacked Yes14c14,631$2,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,048.2930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a4…27cfbacked Yes43c14,588$6,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,317.52119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-62.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7809…196abacked Yes60c14,380$8,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,676.21540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed Yes33c14,316$4,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,669.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…7820backed Yes77c13,962$10,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,728.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e35…8ca4backed No31c13,889$4,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,593.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+223.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdfa…4a1cbacked Yes11c13,466$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.74650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25e4…732fbacked Yes1c13,287$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.88825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-39.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x471d…8b22backed Yes2c12,772$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.85728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-58.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No26c12,605$3,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,381.236742.5%156 W · 211 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf492…6583backed Yes4c12,418$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Yes64c12,287$7,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,845.25683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes76c12,046$9,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,155.853043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6967…84bfbacked Yes69c12,000$8,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,2801827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-60.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc2dc…9c9cbacked Yes0c12,000$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x897a…b17ebacked Yes69c11,939$8,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,224.952352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No60c11,916$7,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,716.9612345.5%56 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d1f…9685backed Yes65c11,813$7,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,661.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42a2…92bebacked Yes77c11,415$8,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,789.8320%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ab6…8eefbacked Yes74c10,903$8,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,017.473857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes58c10,876$6,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,303.137944.3%35 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e82…6bacbacked Yes70c10,522$7,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,381.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6e1…41f1backed Yes66c10,478$6,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,953.3530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c6f…ddf5backed Yes61c10,241$6,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,265.5130%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d3c…3daabacked Yes71c10,049$7,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,134.99520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-39.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7e1…4ad5backed Yes62c9,874$6,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,098.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae57…45e2backed Yes74c9,550$7,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,11220%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x682b…97a7backed Yes21c9,532$2,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,042.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed No31c9,319$2,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,443.884367.4%29 W · 14 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5129…add5backed Yes75c9,317$6,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,972.14520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-53.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f87…f277backed Yes61c9,299$5,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,633.511936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0caf…692bbacked Yes42c9,227$3,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,873.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5967…750dbacked Yes64c9,156$5,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,905250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a13…4593backed Yes68c9,150$6,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,230.991421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-59.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x432c…0eddbacked Yes11c9,074$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd709…5f46backed Yes49c9,055$4,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,462.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef62…3697backed Yes78c9,033$7,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,046.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Yes66c9,000$5,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,903.839053.3%48 W · 42 L+10.7wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+25.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5e38…a1dbbacked Yes49c8,896$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4003033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+62.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24de…83cbbacked Yes67c8,803$5,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,882.7785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick69cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d2d…f9f0backed Yes77c8,730$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,750450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde11…c4afbacked Yes27c8,715$2,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,344333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+68.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…693fbacked Yes38c8,566$3,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,221.85633.9%19 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48d6…46a6backed Yes34c8,500$2,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,858333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes63c8,315$5,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,219.0415026%39 W · 111 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf919…1d41backed Yes59c8,205$4,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,824.2550%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16fa…6d0dbacked Yes64c7,841$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.