World Politics · resolved market
Will United Thai Nation Party (UTN) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x096cdfe215f3369bccf6c39d06398de75d69af9ec84678319794a60addc7c604
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,597,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,597,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x49fc…698dbacked Yes | 0c | 57,875$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb610…8c2bbacked Yes | 0c | 55,057$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc105…de96backed Yes | 0c | 53,613$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0251…09dbbacked Yes | 0c | 53,025$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…9860backed Yes | 0c | 51,987$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a1…6d31backed Yes | 0c | 43,645$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2053…a600backed Yes | 0c | 40,559$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dd…8533backed Yes | 0c | 38,186$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeba…7e5cbacked Yes | 0c | 37,966$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf04…dce0backed Yes | 0c | 36,565$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x402e…0c41backed Yes | 0c | 36,504$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…0764backed Yes | 0c | 36,499$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…f126backed Yes | 0c | 29,070$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0b…715fbacked Yes | 0c | 29,007$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7694…085fbacked Yes | 0c | 28,745$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9628…e77ebacked Yes | 0c | 28,324$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbf…bab7backed Yes | 0c | 27,455$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb348…6f30backed Yes | 0c | 27,289$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09bd…238cbacked Yes | 0c | 27,196$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633b…3ea1backed Yes | 0c | 26,930$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e37…ac2ebacked Yes | 0c | 26,838$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae64…fe29backed Yes | 0c | 26,568$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…b2f4backed Yes | 0c | 26,385$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a0…707ebacked Yes | 0c | 26,384$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a01…70f9backed Yes | 0c | 26,215$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e8…3ff1backed Yes | 0c | 26,100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ea…eab6backed Yes | 0c | 26,031$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd954…1092backed Yes | 0c | 25,969$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…f487backed Yes | 0c | 25,965$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…d62dbacked Yes | 0c | 24,728$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f18…fe74backed Yes | 0c | 24,682$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…f67ebacked Yes | 0c | 24,218$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55c5…8730backed Yes | 0c | 24,045$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec9…a7c2backed Yes | 0c | 23,701$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad5…04f1backed Yes | 0c | 23,677$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…4927backed Yes | 0c | 23,302$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ab…8312backed Yes | 0c | 23,295$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e58…d4fcbacked Yes | 0c | 23,212$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b3…c3b7backed Yes | 0c | 22,986$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1b…8e02backed Yes | 0c | 22,742$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3d…1c94backed Yes | 0c | 22,407$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…3f78backed Yes | 0c | 21,806$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7919…414abacked Yes | 0c | 21,259$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbff…1681backed Yes | 0c | 19,526$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcf…4272backed Yes | 0c | 19,496$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf78f…0b4fbacked Yes | 0c | 19,380$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f81…ad40backed Yes | 0c | 19,360$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79a5…3531backed Yes | 0c | 18,537$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa96…60e4backed Yes | 0c | 16,820$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56dc…10f1backed Yes | 0c | 16,720$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd70a…baf2backed Yes | 0c | 16,606$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…64bcbacked Yes | 0c | 14,607$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3472…b23ebacked Yes | 0c | 13,936$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…986bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,982$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80c2…d389backed Yes | 0c | 11,862$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…d67dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,355$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will United Thai Nation Party (UTN) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?this page
- Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes won
- Will Chart Thai Pattana Party (CTPP) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will Democrat Party (DP) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will Kla Tham Party (KT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will Palang Pracharath Party (PPRP) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will Prachachat Party (PCC) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.