TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x155e…69b7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Fifa International at 50 out of 100; worst Macro Indicators at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT4924.5%12 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Caley McDonald win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.06
Will Robert Mitchell win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.7
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.58
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.76
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+95%+$84.8
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.98
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.25
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.6
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.95
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.82
Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.8
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.48
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.69
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+424%+$205.02
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+502.6%+$192.26
Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+274.8%+$432.25
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Will Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.79
Will Dan Thomas be the next First Minister of Wales following the 2026 Welsh parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.09
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$34.74
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.41
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$61.63
Will Jason Perry win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+350.3%+$389.27
Will Ben Flook win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.28
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+1,043.9%+$1,655.86
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.