TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Jason Perry win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,109
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,073

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,109 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d5e…9a5ebacked Yes76c2,186$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe43d…f095backed Yes25c1,609$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.05742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No75c1,117$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.023852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe23b…c1e5backed Yes22c845.08$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+291.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes25c836.1$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.0814637%54 W · 92 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ae…8349backed Yes29c764.48$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+73.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bdd…31acbacked Yes23c748.97$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.122330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d0…203abacked Yes27c740.66$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.66650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+39.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8030…7b74backed No28c714.32$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.985558.2%32 W · 23 L+15.2wins+0.28per pick31cpaid+73.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x8ce5…9ce1backed No79c699.98$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick74cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x322b…8743backed No74c540.94$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400425%1 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick75cpaid-68.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No73c525.29$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.2752850.8%268 W · 260 L+20.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x155e…69b7backed Yes22c500.39$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.274924.5%12 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No75c500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37588448.5%429 W · 455 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73d2…f9b7backed No73c500$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36513268.9%91 W · 41 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes24c500$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38011839%46 W · 72 L-13.1wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7b34…294cbacked Yes26c499.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.991330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No73c466.28$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.3113243.9%58 W · 74 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes26c405$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.5554934.6%190 W · 359 L-37.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes24c367.09$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.652339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a31…f2f0backed No15c340$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.026139.3%24 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81d1…4e30backed Yes17c299.03$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.926942%29 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+22.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x51f2…38efbacked Yes29c295.44$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.645940.7%24 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0957…77e8backed No16c250$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.253948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe041…be79backed No76c249.98$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.81861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e4…471abacked Yes21c249.46$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.3115022.7%34 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+43%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf78e…87f1backed Yes23c245.39$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+338.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes28c240.08$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.814225.4%36 W · 106 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No72c225.19$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.611,31843.9%579 W · 739 L-26.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2a0…4230backed No74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1481163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+43.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf24f…cfb7backed No17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342722.2%6 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+152.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9363…52cabacked No17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345135.3%18 W · 33 L+12.4wins+0.24per pick11cpaid+385.3%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xe0e3…6677backed No17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343429.4%10 W · 24 L+6.1wins+0.18per pick12cpaid+167.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xff7c…3768backed Yes19c199.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.991266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No72c158.95$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0710634.9%37 W · 69 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No39c149.16$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9499017.2%170 W · 820 L-148.8wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-61.5%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x5235…43a8backed Yes35c143.69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.69742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec4…f4a4backed No76c139.98$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.393246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa056…0f70backed Yes19c138$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.122330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No75c137$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4339952.4%209 W · 190 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe10b…29cabacked No74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes22c131.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2331635.1%111 W · 205 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes31c131.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1146330.2%140 W · 323 L-20.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b04…f467backed No70c123.2$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.04616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-77.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No31c120$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2836055.3%199 W · 161 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a5…5097backed No68c119.6$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.91662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed No74c119.09$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.64615.2%7 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-66.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf960…ba50backed No52c110$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.21838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes26c100.42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6513446.3%62 W · 72 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b2…3caabacked Yes17c97.07$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.575442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d1b…1419backed Yes23c97$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.692653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba63…6271backed Yes25c93.11$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.663339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes16c86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2426139.8%104 W · 157 L+16.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8a2…560ebacked Yes26c84.62$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.623925.6%10 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-68.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb732…6900backed No73c78.79$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.892343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No69c77.81$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9418445.7%84 W · 100 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed No72c74.38$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5513225%33 W · 99 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5edc…bbadbacked No76c70.25$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.398854.5%48 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes45c66.94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.944560%27 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb03…103cbacked Yes22c66.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.98450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+50.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9e1…8adfbacked No54c65.36$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No71c64.84$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0224637.4%92 W · 154 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ae…9095backed No53c64.31$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.97825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-60.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf124…9d72backed No74c61.18$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.27650%3 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c44…28efbacked Yes33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977b…0e58backed No76c60$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-47.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf6…7521backed No79c60$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.42979.3%23 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No66c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.626355.9%147 W · 116 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9237…1b1ebacked No63c58.24$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…87e7backed Yes21c54.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.77450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+66.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d26…50b5backed Yes23c54.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+117.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb26a…c542backed Yes37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.051050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d7…0ff9backed No72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362450%12 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes23c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.513348.1%64 W · 69 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd12f…e85abacked Yes28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363432.4%11 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbda7…fc55backed Yes44c49.21$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.56850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+60.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0b…422dbacked Yes42c47.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39d…c817backed Yes67c47.58$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.58955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x173a…eb85backed No79c40.48$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.982657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3020051.5%103 W · 97 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79e6…aaa1backed No72c39$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.083540%14 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No66c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81,02228%286 W · 736 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd98d…1179backed No67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.11947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb616…0086backed No73c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No75c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.515356.2%86 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No71c29.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9132255%177 W · 145 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed No71c28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.884526.7%12 W · 33 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-29.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaef7…0e53backed No71c26.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.91616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-77.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked No76c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb81…4563backed No75c24.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.371060%6 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick76cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb477…673ebacked No73c20.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.042369.6%16 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No69c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.827438.3%105 W · 169 L-32.3wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-35.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4785…af66backed No76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.220%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed No77c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.42646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x71c6…3eb8backed No73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.620%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8862…bbf5backed No74c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.82470.8%17 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba3…57bcbacked No67c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.052748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed No78c14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.921457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.