World Politics · resolved market
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07a42fe9d9e912ac654582bca59cfa83b52d8c4f1b89a3746946530461e1f9c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5462…eed6backed Yes | 63c | 12,085$7,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,559.69 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed No | 27c | 7,256$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,263.88 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 69c | 5,462$3,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,793.27 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…9a5ebacked No | 62c | 3,559$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…1ba4backed Yes | 62c | 3,231$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…3134backed Yes | 67c | 2,987$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…c1e5backed No | 30c | 2,692$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +291.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed Yes | 17c | 2,296$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.49 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 59c | 2,016$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.92 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 70c | 1,944$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.53 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad82…1075backed Yes | 58c | 1,723$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 29c | 1,674$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 69c | 1,477$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccb9…f7e7backed Yes | 70c | 1,400$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 75cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4e30backed No | 30c | 1,193$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…3f38backed Yes | 68c | 1,181$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -6.6wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 30c | 1,112$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.65 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…9ce1backed Yes | 74c | 1,100$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 74cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 36c | 1,040$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.63 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 31c | 1,000$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.33 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…b78abacked No | 38c | 971.69$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 35c | 831.05$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.97 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4e…f455backed Yes | 66c | 751.67$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca1…9637backed No | 35c | 668.92$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…6271backed Yes | 56c | 660.15$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.67 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…b36abacked Yes | 57c | 648.39$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2251…25a0backed Yes | 66c | 633.81$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.71 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…efefbacked Yes | 68c | 630.98$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163a…6388backed Yes | 68c | 598.12$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.69 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac2d…a9c4backed No | 35c | 588.64$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 71c | 570.18$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.31 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 33c | 527.84$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.8 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…141abacked Yes | 13c | 496$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 37c | 469.13$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.55 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 43c | 468.48$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.71 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 34c | 466.33$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.16 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked No | 33c | 439.97$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.82 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…2694backed Yes | 68c | 436.4$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed No | 39c | 400$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x171c…f0a0backed Yes | 55c | 399.63$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 73c | 339$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.47 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…3b29backed Yes | 68c | 336.89$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 52c | 320$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.8 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +8.0wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +105%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…7ddfbacked Yes | 66c | 318.18$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 80c | 318$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fed…f6a5backed Yes | 66c | 316.61$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 32c | 311$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.48 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb2…a30cbacked No | 8c | 303.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.24 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 40c | 287.41$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.81 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…1a95backed No | 35c | 286.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd778…18d3backed No | 46c | 278.59$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +177.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…3365backed Yes | 71c | 260$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbd…1288backed No | 37c | 243$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.09 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…32a2backed Yes | 43c | 231.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked No | 35c | 231$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.15 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Yes | 66c | 226.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 68c | 209.61$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.53 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3768backed Yes | 61c | 200$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…cfb7backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…6677backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +167.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x738f…ba83backed Yes | 72c | 200$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 50cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdd…31acbacked No | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 65c | 199.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.69 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd8…0d38backed No | 26c | 190$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45f0…5e0dbacked No | 29c | 184.37$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x511e…cfadbacked No | 29c | 184.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ae…9095backed Yes | 59c | 183.6$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 61c | 181.42$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked No | 29c | 178.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a5…5097backed No | 45c | 176.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.31 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 60c | 176.28$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.61 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…d842backed No | 35c | 173.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 66c | 171.13$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.65 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a98…6a15backed Yes | 60c | 166.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507b…0742backed Yes | 67c | 164$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.88 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf737…37aabacked Yes | 71c | 163.83$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.09 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa994…19a6backed Yes | 62c | 162.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 63c | 150$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3d…2ff5backed Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 47c | 149.31$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.02 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe041…be79backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 35c | 148.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 34c | 146.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…66edbacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…4c9cbacked No | 35c | 140$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe149…fe64backed No | 39c | 136.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked No | 44c | 120.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…f875backed Yes | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Yes | 60c | 116$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…ddeabacked Yes | 67c | 114.79$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Yes | 79c | 105.42$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e81…258dbacked Yes | 62c | 104.84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0899…0507backed No | 29c | 100.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 63c | 100.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.34 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaa…6783backed No | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…3087backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…91debacked No | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?this page
- Will Ben Flook win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?No won
- Will Jason Perry win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?Yes won
- Will Peter Underwood win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?No won
- Will Richard Howard win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.