TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x71c6…3eb8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
154
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT3363.6%21 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick74cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.26
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.6
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$3.61
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$6.19
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.09
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.57
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 46-47°F on May 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.6
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.37
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.43
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.3
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.09
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.44
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on April 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.53
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or higher on April 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.27
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on April 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$5.94
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.18
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.26
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.48
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.48
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.26
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.9
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$14.38
Will Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.12
Will SD Huesca vs. Real Zaragoza end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.9
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.11
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Will Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13.57
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.31
Will Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$9.97
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.48
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.04
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.3
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.04
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.37
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.15
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.12
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.56
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick75cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.56
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$6.15
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.55
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$21.8
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$8.44
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+34%+$4.95
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.29
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$11.3
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick73cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.78
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38%+$11.3
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$11.76
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$5.07
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+33%+$12.42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$8.9
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$5.65
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.51
Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.37
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.51
Will Konyaspor win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.5
Will Alanyaspor vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.98
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.12
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.98
Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. AZ end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Falcons win PGL Astana 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.12
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$36.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alex Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Truist Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$6.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bangladesh win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.