La Liga · resolved market
Will SD Huesca vs. Real Zaragoza end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01124054c66e80780d8d0d57593b106ba56c7c0718f25e981293b4e203f67bbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed No | 66c | 7,585$5,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.98 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 78c | 1,275$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.59 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 68c | 913.39$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.29 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 64c | 638.19$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.74 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 34c | 564.94$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.08 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Yes | 45c | 556.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.42 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 78c | 466.33$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.59 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 32c | 459.49$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.04 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 16c | 454.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.37 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 401.75$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.29 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 397.53$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.92 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 43c | 318.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.87 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 34c | 282.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 32c | 230$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 13c | 203.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 23c | 162.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 12c | 152.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 34c | 144.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Yes | 34c | 141.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 34c | 141.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x881e…70f8backed Yes | 32c | 140.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 34c | 137.32$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 24c | 59.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 20c | 58.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 49c | 58.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Yes | 34c | 55.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes | 32c | 53.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Yes | 34c | 53.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0488backed Yes | 34c | 51.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 50.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Yes | 34c | 49.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 49c | 45.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 24c | 43.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Yes | 34c | 42.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 66c | 38.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed Yes | 34c | 36.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x608c…4f52backed No | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +114.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 68c | 26.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 59c | 21.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c6…3eb8backed No | 68c | 21.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed No | 78c | 20.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 68c | 19.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed No | 78c | 17.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa434…e508backed No | 78c | 14.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SD Huesca vs. Real Zaragoza end in a draw?this page
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-04-26?No won
- Will SD Huesca win on 2026-04-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.