TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x881e…70f8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Serie A, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 57 out of 100; worst Asian League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick64cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Equalizer" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will the announcers say "What a Strike" or "What a Finish" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$188
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$43.78
Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$90.71
Will the announcers say "Pressure" 15+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will the announcers say "Handball" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$56.21
Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+55%+$276.9
Will France be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$154.9
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$141.75
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$81.48
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$98.05
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$64.8
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$51.06
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$27.75
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$45.31
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$46.5
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$53.9
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$40.32
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
All 22 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$121.6
Will Harry Kane record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$150.89
Will Michael Olise record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$199
UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Championbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$29.44
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$35.38
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.43
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$22.7
All 8 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-44.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+150%+$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+35.9%+$92.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Takasaki: Kyoka Okamura vs Valentina Ryserbacked Kyoka Okamura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.