AI · resolved market
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5fa2094af61fdfdb0398c22c4f1bb8788cabc680bcc0042f77c6388b23afaf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,997,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,259,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,997,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 624 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7432…c16abacked No | 0c | 127,825$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked No | 1c | 81,133$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 34,904$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.62 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked No | 1c | 33,869$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f5…24cbbacked No | 8c | 31,281$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 3c | 31,026$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.25 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 2c | 28,705$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.15 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed No | 5c | 28,676$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked No | 19c | 28,379$5,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,275.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf330…718abacked No | 2c | 25,360$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 6c | 24,359$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.05 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed No | 26c | 19,696$5,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,048.63 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…1f46backed No | 3c | 18,833$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3b…5d31backed No | 13c | 18,449$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc0…25f8backed Yes | 75c | 15,543$11,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,903.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked No | 1c | 15,391$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.85 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…31abbacked No | 0c | 14,990$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 2c | 14,108$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.24 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd9…28abbacked No | 0c | 13,626$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 7c | 13,007$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.88 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 4c | 11,351$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.85 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 5c | 10,915$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.6 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc20a…2425backed No | 10c | 10,849$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.92 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 4c | 10,736$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.65 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 3c | 10,509$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.14 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 4c | 10,135$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.17 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked No | 1c | 10,109$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed No | 1c | 10,100$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…7fe5backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e3…81ccbacked Yes | 74c | 8,200$6,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e34…b86fbacked No | 13c | 8,034$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…fc8ebacked No | 1c | 8,001$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 19c | 7,515$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.57 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0170…a17cbacked Yes | 66c | 7,471$4,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…9db2backed No | 0c | 6,666$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 25c | 6,603$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.39 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 5c | 6,479$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.12 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 6,100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked No | 2c | 5,979$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eeb…ec23backed No | 9c | 5,700$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…fb06backed No | 1c | 5,606$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 6c | 5,339$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.39 | 86 | 5.8%5 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3e…3074backed Yes | 80c | 5,002$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa2…93efbacked No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed No | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 21c | 4,908$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.6 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked No | 7c | 4,700$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.79 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…756bbacked No | 4c | 4,601$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc7…3daebacked Yes | 78c | 4,461$3,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…f51ebacked No | 0c | 4,309$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed Yes | 63c | 4,027$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed No | 7c | 4,001$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.46 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdb…d414backed Yes | 74c | 4,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf603…82f1backed No | 11c | 4,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed No | 9c | 3,879$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.94 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked No | 16c | 3,857$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.84 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd5…079dbacked Yes | 71c | 3,767$2,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 14c | 3,544$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.09 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 4c | 3,513$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.64 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0c…2da5backed No | 1c | 3,126$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 13c | 3,105$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.97 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94b2…9e5abacked No | 1c | 3,027$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce7…ea15backed No | 3c | 2,928$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed No | 14c | 2,863$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.28 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 79c | 2,724$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.47 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd453…4b1bbacked No | 2c | 2,668$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…c658backed No | 3c | 2,620$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed No | 2c | 2,615$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…ec95backed No | 2c | 2,412$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…eeb2backed Yes | 75c | 2,385$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.66 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 3c | 2,373$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.92 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 79c | 2,349$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.33 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…e587backed No | 2c | 2,345$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 2c | 2,323$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked No | 4c | 2,222$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 3c | 2,177$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.09 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…5fb0backed Yes | 80c | 2,090$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.6 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 38c | 2,000$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ee…54f8backed No | 1c | 2,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…ee52backed No | 3c | 2,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 2c | 2,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc2…2f88backed No | 1c | 2,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00cd…55c9backed No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718e…3ef9backed No | 12c | 1,897$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 55c | 1,855$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.96 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…db70backed No | 1c | 1,818$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 34c | 1,803$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.21 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294d…b362backed Yes | 75c | 1,785$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -81%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4e…14cfbacked No | 2c | 1,778$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…3febbacked Yes | 79c | 1,742$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…19b6backed Yes | 67c | 1,700$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf264…9e0fbacked Yes | 76c | 1,677$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…5c9ebacked No | 1c | 1,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 2c | 1,664$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes | 65c | 1,650$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f1…e77abacked No | 2c | 1,588$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd4…ba2fbacked Yes | 72c | 1,547$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Yes | 75c | 1,458$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.89 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed No | 1c | 1,420$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a5…d228backed No | 7c | 1,400$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?this page
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No won
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No won
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No won
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No won
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No won
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.