AI · resolved market
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52d4c5bcfd2312d2872558ccd7cfec91b079d5497b0efdc01fc722faa6914ca4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,945,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,856,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,945,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 272,462$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.17 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3b…5d31backed Yes | 2c | 189,725$4,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,201.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2424…3b61backed Yes | 9c | 68,431$6,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,294.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 53,646$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.9 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes | 0c | 37,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 7c | 27,948$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.01 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…756bbacked Yes | 5c | 22,118$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.23 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 15c | 20,823$3,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,108.87 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f5…24cbbacked Yes | 8c | 18,795$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…1f46backed Yes | 1c | 17,353$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 15,610$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.49 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…b5a4backed Yes | 4c | 14,146$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.86 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed Yes | 14c | 13,597$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.23 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 13,501$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.94 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d1…51afbacked Yes | 25c | 13,085$3,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,252.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718e…3ef9backed Yes | 8c | 12,845$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 12,739$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00cd…55c9backed Yes | 0c | 12,707$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes | 1c | 12,259$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb92…8f58backed Yes | 3c | 10,171$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…681abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 1c | 9,669$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 3c | 7,345$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.33 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 4c | 7,302$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.52 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 7c | 6,206$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.53 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 6,203$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.7 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…c767backed Yes | 1c | 5,970$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 7c | 5,898$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.62 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…7491backed Yes | 0c | 5,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…b628backed Yes | 15c | 5,694$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40bf…2e90backed Yes | 1c | 5,539$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 5c | 5,058$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.46 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4adf…f273backed Yes | 1c | 5,053$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a76…e976backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ee…54f8backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5590…8e3dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfa…4a1cbacked Yes | 11c | 4,735$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 5c | 4,485$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.91 | 86 | 5.8%5 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 5c | 4,409$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.92 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 4,087$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.15 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd27…2807backed Yes | 4c | 4,000$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…de68backed Yes | 9c | 3,947$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.02 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 3,671$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.65 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 13c | 3,559$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.35 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 0c | 3,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 70 | 0%0 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf124…d6fabacked Yes | 1c | 3,212$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…eeb2backed Yes | 6c | 3,075$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.9 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked Yes | 8c | 3,049$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.19 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 2,952$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 1c | 2,650$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -72%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…cb9ebacked Yes | 13c | 2,631$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Yes | 6c | 2,500$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.15 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdad7…f31ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,481$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 22c | 2,272$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.47 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf471…b457backed Yes | 1c | 2,198$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 1c | 2,194$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…ee50backed Yes | 1c | 2,100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 75 | 10.7%8 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba0…cba6backed Yes | 10c | 1,862$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…95a9backed Yes | 1c | 1,807$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…2fc0backed Yes | 7c | 1,800$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Yes | 21c | 1,747$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6302…7917backed Yes | 13c | 1,740$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.97 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551b…e339backed Yes | 29c | 1,718$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 13c | 1,636$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.86 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 10c | 1,616$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.48 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ec…ab04backed Yes | 25c | 1,574$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd4…ba2fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,511$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…acdabacked Yes | 7c | 1,500$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…b16dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,476$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73a…b528backed Yes | 19c | 1,442$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d7…f33cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,421$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 1,391$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.44 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69cf…ca78backed Yes | 1c | 1,390$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…d876backed Yes | 7c | 1,331$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…7549backed Yes | 8c | 1,283$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf48…6f13backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x359c…3fe5backed Yes | 20c | 1,244$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 2c | 1,204$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…756cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,161$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…224cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,100$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…79c0backed Yes | 1c | 1,050$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…0ab8backed Yes | 10c | 1,012$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…e587backed Yes | 1c | 1,012$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc90c…9bb7backed Yes | 13c | 1,010$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a10…9977backed Yes | 16c | 999.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898f…7308backed Yes | 5c | 996.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…0f13backed Yes | 12c | 991.22$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.65 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 4c | 854.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf9…2fd9backed Yes | 2c | 853.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bca…05d8backed Yes | 21c | 843.16$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa323…64cabacked Yes | 13c | 776.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…9c77backed Yes | 13c | 749.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23f7…6e44backed Yes | 5c | 728.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…5292backed Yes | 14c | 724.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked Yes | 24c | 716.78$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…add0backed Yes | 14c | 697.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…ccacbacked Yes | 29c | 696.21$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4957…f25ebacked Yes | 13c | 667.02$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?this page
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No won
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No won
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No won
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes won
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No won
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.