TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0eec…e587

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
527
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 58 out of 100; worst Commodities at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT20855.8%116 W · 92 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 208 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.04
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,204.4%+$405.92
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$13.77
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.81
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.22
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$1,240
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,960Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,040
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$31.05
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.62
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.34
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.9
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.3
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.15
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$58.79
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$115.43
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$159.67
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.04
Showing 25 of 208 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT8835.2%31 W · 57 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.34
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+66%+$8.86
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.76
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$24.22
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.31
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.26
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.81
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.41
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.76
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$14.67
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+383.6%+$98.1
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$53.21
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+121.5%+$17.27
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.32
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+108.2%+$20.79
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$112.52
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.54
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.51
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.16
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.83
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT4456.8%25 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$67.36
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$81.25
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$69.24
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$42.19
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$44.05
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$27.74
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$35.29
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$40.38
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$91.67
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$27.74
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$27.74
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$75
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.89
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$30
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$52.86
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$31.03
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.47
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+120.3%+$89.46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$54.23
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.07
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$20.5
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$45.09
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$22.57
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$63.61
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.27
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.94
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.39
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$5.46
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.3
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.01
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+32%+$23.49
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.96
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+238.4%+$50.43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.07
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+66%+$49.97
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.69
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$39.88
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+102.5%+$46.23
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT2927.6%8 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+311.5%+$311.46
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.82
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$73.43
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.6
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.43
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.63
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$78.92
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$979Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$257.53
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.65
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$21.41
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+480.9%+$73.62
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$51.21
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$50.3
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$51.12
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+1,009.3%+$370.72
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+83.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$10.16
Will Chip Neiman be the Wyoming State Senate District 1 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.35
Will Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+485.4%+$49.2
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.24
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+78%+$15.47
Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.49
Will Casey Askar be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+148.7%+$19.42
Will Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.69
Will Eliott Rodriguez be the FL-27 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.45
Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.61
Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55.39
Will Russell Fry place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.73
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.01
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+102.9%+$66.59
Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+284.7%+$106.45
Will Haley Stevens win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+450.3%+$67.75
Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+223.7%+$38.14
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+525%+$140.38
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+208.2%+$98.27
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$19.94
Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.54
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.06
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.13
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.72
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.63
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.32
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$68.46
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$102.6
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+141%+$23.4
Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$159.42
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Brazil vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.09
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11
All 17 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-82.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.53
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.31
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$58.3
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+46.5%+$6.19
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40.16
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.46
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.32
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$38.01
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26.98
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$44.12
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.92
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+36%+$16.52
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.47
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40.11
Grok 4.20 released by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19.24
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-87.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.73
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.52
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.53
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.92
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$62.6
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$56.14
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$46.44
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.02
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 20–30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$19.7
All 14 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 23?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$8.13
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.4
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$16.55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $108 on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$486
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$290
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,719Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$1,863.81
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.52
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 17?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+56.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+103.9%+$534.78
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$121.46
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.73
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.84
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$47.62
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked Illinois State Redbirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$78.66
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.81
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.85
All 9 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-61.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$37.3
Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+250.5%+$43.45
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.57
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.26
Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$32.01
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.19
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.17
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$26.68
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$45.99
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+206.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Jets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Capitals vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$104.87
Will PARIVISION win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+203%+$205.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$359.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.