TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,210
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,405

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,210 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9368…80a3backed Over46c18,186$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,785.624744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under54c13,002$6,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,962.1783652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf71a…c2ecbacked Under0c6,858$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under53c3,071$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.0917045.9%78 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Under54c2,158$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.9423851.7%123 W · 115 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under56c1,725$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.445,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Over65c1,483$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.4815053.3%80 W · 70 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under28c1,364$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.723,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over57c1,176$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.21,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dce…c58ebacked Under54c1,030$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.21338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under42c780.75$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.222838.6%88 W · 140 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf595…78c8backed Under33c762.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-56.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…b78abacked Under55c749.98$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.491968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf92c…87f7backed Under54c715.46$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e96…262ebacked Under5c672.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.392917.2%5 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Over49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2425747.5%122 W · 135 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Over57c546.6$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.619351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Under36c513.64$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.353746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Under54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27012045%54 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ea…59a1backed Over44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28019238%73 W · 119 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Under54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e8…131cbacked Over79c480$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6396…3e5cbacked Under33c452.06$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under55c399.95$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.971,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b0…ab95backed Over44c383.71$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.885860.3%35 W · 23 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked Under56c367.05$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.5537441.7%156 W · 218 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Over67c298.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6613151.9%68 W · 63 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Over43c279.58$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.3688242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed Under36c262$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6824558%142 W · 103 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over49c256.12$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.6279951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under54c249$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.469240.2%37 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed Over45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1104526.7%12 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae90…9a56backed Over46c199.39$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.678740.2%35 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eec…e587backed Over44c187.27$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under55c185.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4638848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65c5…2862backed Over45c177.78$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.789046.7%42 W · 48 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over49c154.08$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5873948.4%358 W · 381 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Over57c145.31$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.488459.5%50 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over46c143.65$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5714955%82 W · 67 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Over45c122.22$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2225941.3%107 W · 152 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over69c115.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9448562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50f2…a5b1backed Over45c111.01$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.011442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80b3…e5d9backed Over44c110$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.63881.6%31 W · 7 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+21.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over62c103.13$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.933,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0abc…5a5cbacked Under39c101.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5518352.5%96 W · 87 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa590…271cbacked Over49c98.47$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.221353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed Under24c98.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.41741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Over44c90$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.41,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6dd…238bbacked Over44c88.64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6412446.8%58 W · 66 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05bc…eabbbacked Under31c69$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.698943.8%39 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Over46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.223663.9%23 W · 13 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under32c60.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.099533.7%32 W · 63 L-9.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc313…6645backed Over44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.622651.3%116 W · 110 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over65c59.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.226958.4%157 W · 112 L+20.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfcf6…c27dbacked Over46c59$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9111341.6%47 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfad0…490fbacked Over45c52.27$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.752433.3%8 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-41.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5fd8…54b3backed Over65c45.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8811850%59 W · 59 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under35c45.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8510133.7%34 W · 67 L-14.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-42.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Over49c43.27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.129552.6%50 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe02c…7579backed Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under54c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.988858%51 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x68b5…5952backed Over45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.334761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Under43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.925042.8%107 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x747b…88c1backed Over53c29.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.73450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Under54c27.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536846.7%172 W · 196 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad0b…99febacked Over70c22.66$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.812162.8%76 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52c5…5878backed Over65c16.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8814346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c38…291fbacked Over61c16.72$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.522437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.