TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e96…262e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2917.2%5 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.79
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.62
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$17.23
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$12.59
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.8
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.39
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$24.79
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs UNO MILLE - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+306.7%+$44.03
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+157.7%+$29.37
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.8
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.91
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.05
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.09
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - FERJEE In House Playoffsbacked Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.06
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Gaimin Gladiators - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.22
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs BESTIA Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked BESTIA Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group Cbacked Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.74
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Galorys - Map 2 Winnerbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT277.4%2 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-73.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35.14
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.19
LoL: 7REX vs RED Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked RED Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.39
LoL: Conviction vs Citadel Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Citadel Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.43
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
LoL: Conviction vs Citadel Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Citadel Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Winthrop University - Game 2 Winnerbacked Apex Mission Impossible · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.16
LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Winthrop University - Game 1 Winnerbacked Apex Mission Impossible · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs NRG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked Dorado Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.42
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs NRG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dorado Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs NRG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked NRG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.78
LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
LoL: 7REX vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked 7REX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+290.6%+$29.06
LoL: RMD Gaming vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked RMD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.14
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Misa Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.73
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 2 Winnerbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Solary - Game 2 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick19cpaid+58.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+269.1%+$115.71
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.3
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+332.4%+$312.91
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+689.2%+$151.63
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.4
Raptors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.43
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+374.2%+$164.55
All 13 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-74.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-53.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-52.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+103.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+307.9%+$31.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.69
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+633.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+633.2%+$119.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Angers SCO vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.