Bundesliga · resolved market
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x714661607e186f0428e0d0e3224571a354f39b3be7fd5d6cf1e9245cdf3e79d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 10,970$6,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,047.21 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 26c | 8,274$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,122.05 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 6,243$3,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,980.83 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 13c | 5,877$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.7 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 3,791$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.92 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 33c | 2,908$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.68 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 2,329$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.9 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over | 36c | 2,100$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…2732backed Over | 52c | 1,865$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 52c | 1,455$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.55 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Under | 14c | 1,372$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.66 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Under | 17c | 1,050$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 13cpaid | +128%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…c230backed Under | 17c | 1,046$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.33 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Over | 80c | 987.81$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.56 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 64c | 904.44$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.22 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Under | 18c | 882.51$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.88 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +140.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 24c | 799.95$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.96 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 13c | 700$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 71c | 699.98$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.99 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 13c | 694$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.22 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 15c | 691.6$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.86 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 67c | 659.41$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.35 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 630.91$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.66 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 72c | 605.16$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.86 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 44c | 599.94$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.97 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 40c | 599.87$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 73c | 535.2$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.87 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…9614backed Over | 43c | 534.07$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 18c | 465$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +99%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under | 20c | 449.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 12c | 435.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.22 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 56c | 434.64$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.24 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 56c | 413.78$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.06 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 79c | 407.71$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.67 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 63c | 406.03$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.94 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 56c | 399.87$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.94 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 21c | 381.04$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.02 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 17c | 355.49$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 57c | 350.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.81 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Over | 56c | 302.46$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 76c | 283.34$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.94 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…b81dbacked Over | 46c | 280.61$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.64 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 78c | 265.75$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.74 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 78c | 265.75$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.74 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Over | 62c | 249.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Over | 20c | 235.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +128.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e19…1495backed Over | 55c | 227.59$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.42 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 67c | 227.35$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.79 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Over | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Over | 56c | 210.12$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.02 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 49c | 207.96$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.81 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e0…97b0backed Over | 23c | 192.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.16 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +180.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 72c | 191.63$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.86 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 42c | 189.44$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 65c | 179.72$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Over | 45c | 170$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Under | 79c | 167.77$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.18 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Over | 45c | 164.34$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.06 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 56c | 154.73$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 51c | 154.15$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.62 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 64c | 153.65$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 36c | 152.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.77 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…db37backed Over | 28c | 151.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.27 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +173.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Under | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2b…c1a3backed Over | 32c | 149.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 20c | 146.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.2 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e96…262ebacked Over | 14c | 138.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +633.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 76c | 133$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Over | 76c | 132$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Over | 80c | 131.4$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb348…776fbacked Over | 15c | 124.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.62per pick | 18cpaid | +320.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 56c | 121.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…288dbacked Over | 10c | 121.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +225.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…7a9cbacked Over | 27c | 114.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +189.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…665fbacked Over | 27c | 114.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Over | 56c | 106.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 73cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…f519backed Over | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Over | 10c | 104.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 98.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 13c | 97.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…8320backed Over | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Under | 45c | 82.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x431f…be71backed Over | 31c | 81.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +239.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25e9…9758backed Over | 28c | 74.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +212.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…283cbacked Over | 20c | 73.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +368.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa83d…b699backed Over | 27c | 67.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +215.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 80c | 61.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Under | 49c | 58.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…0a81backed Under | 56c | 57.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5Under won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5Under won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.