Bundesliga · resolved market
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61e6190573d46290e22fc7eaeb243a5b769934377e83cbd1b2d2daeb95e8db19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Over | 66c | 15,065$9,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,941.93 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 67c | 14,664$9,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,801.03 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 33c | 13,542$4,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,104.49 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 34c | 12,630$4,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,314.97 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 56c | 10,515$5,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,874.37 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 34c | 10,500$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,929.98 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 10,009$4,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,381.69 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…11cabacked Over | 67c | 8,748$5,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,860.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 7,431$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,980.83 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 5,036$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,487.24 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 66c | 3,229$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.93 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 57c | 2,646$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.86 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 68c | 2,502$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.14 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Over | 68c | 1,698$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.44 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 33c | 1,628$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.07 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 66c | 1,484$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.6 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Over | 66c | 1,463$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Over | 65c | 1,410$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.21 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 33c | 1,284$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.72 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 46c | 1,199$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…4568backed Over | 67c | 1,124$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed Over | 67c | 1,100$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 57c | 1,008$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.78 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Under | 32c | 999.94$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.96 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 8c | 999.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 32c | 907.54$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.47 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 32c | 894.19$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.24 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 69c | 839.07$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.96 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…d6aabacked Under | 33c | 822.86$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d8e5backed Under | 33c | 822.86$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…d13abacked Under | 74c | 802.71$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.71 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 66c | 742.12$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.8 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 66c | 742.12$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed Under | 33c | 724.9$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.53 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 68c | 721.18$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.4 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under | 33c | 716.01$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.73 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over | 64c | 703.23$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 50c | 673.11$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.15 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 66c | 667.91$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.82 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 661.5$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.26 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Over | 61c | 639.56$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.13 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 33c | 618.53$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.15 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 33c | 590.26$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.74 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 33c | 588.28$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.88 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 33c | 564.46$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Under | 33c | 560.8$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 32c | 557.44$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.96 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 33c | 551.42$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.45 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 33c | 548.08$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.21 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 35c | 545.42$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.9 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 33c | 544.7$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.95 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 49c | 498.43$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.66 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 40c | 490.14$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 35c | 425.3$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.45 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 70c | 421.33$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.59 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 69c | 419.16$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.22 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 32c | 414.66$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.5 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 66c | 385.97$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.69 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e19…1495backed Over | 69c | 373.99$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.05 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 32c | 365.25$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.37 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 68c | 361.45$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.81 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…1ec9backed Under | 67c | 359.97$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Over | 66c | 330.02$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.28 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 33c | 329.94$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.06 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 22c | 306.01$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.37 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…d57ebacked Over | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe735…4198backed Under | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…d240backed Under | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 39c | 299.97$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Over | 66c | 299.02$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 297.89$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.91 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2600…f0dcbacked Over | 67c | 292.57$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 33c | 290.85$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.87 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Over | 38c | 288.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 31c | 262.96$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.19 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 45c | 230$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda68…d77fbacked Under | 33c | 223.95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0577…02ccbacked Under | 34c | 220$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Over | 48c | 215$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Over | 48c | 212.36$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…8aa7backed Under | 34c | 211.21$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb348…776fbacked Over | 9c | 210.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.62per pick | 18cpaid | +320.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…1707backed Under | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Under | 57c | 199.98$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Over | 68c | 198.06$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.68 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 31c | 196$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 33c | 191.48$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.36 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 30c | 185$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Under | 33c | 184.51$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.62 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 33c | 181.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.46 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 66c | 178.11$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.55 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 173.93$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.4 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 33c | 167.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +44%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5Under won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.