Bundesliga · resolved market
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59e19d9c512eb296c0c28fe738db00c0839958ed66ff0023da45275055958e70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 44c | 13,083$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.58 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Over | 43c | 11,593$4,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,984.91 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 57c | 10,016$5,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,298.92 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 5,650$3,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.73 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 56c | 4,500$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 4,443$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.41 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 54c | 2,753$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.42 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 54c | 1,848$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.95 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Over | 46c | 1,838$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.68 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 48c | 1,824$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.8 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 34c | 1,445$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.12 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Under | 71c | 1,384$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.34 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c4…5889backed Over | 44c | 1,059$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 15c | 1,012$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.76 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 44c | 985.73$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.72 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 43c | 819.27$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.51 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…ee5abacked Over | 11c | 687.66$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 57c | 669.06$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.15 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 57c | 628.81$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.01 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 57c | 627.54$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.63 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 44c | 549.09$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.6 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 58c | 541.27$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.47 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 46c | 525.87$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.9 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 76c | 472.8$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.39 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 57c | 459.22$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.46 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Under | 57c | 428.44$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.21 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 44c | 422.05$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.7 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 57c | 401.63$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.28 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 56c | 357.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.1 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 76c | 350.21$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 48c | 303.04$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 54c | 291.19$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.21 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 16c | 272.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 55c | 267.68$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.58 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 19c | 256.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 23c | 251.69$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Over | 43c | 230$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 58c | 199.66$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.71 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 54c | 196$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.24 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 56c | 174.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 57c | 169.47$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Over | 44c | 163.17$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Under | 57c | 162.94$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.69 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 54c | 157.77$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.57 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 58c | 152.11$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 42c | 150.92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 40c | 141.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 75c | 135.78$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 75c | 135.78$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 75c | 135.78$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Over | 44c | 134.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed Under | 57c | 131.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 44c | 127.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf8…2094backed Over | 11c | 123.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…cc2ebacked Under | 62c | 110.54$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…f0fbbacked Over | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 57c | 102.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 57c | 98.02$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 44c | 88.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Over | 46c | 84.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 42c | 80.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 32c | 75.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 46c | 73.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 75c | 70.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 55c | 70.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…8ea7backed Over | 44c | 65.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 41c | 65.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 55c | 63.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 54c | 62.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…cccabacked Under | 56c | 62.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 23c | 58.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 60c | 56.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 46c | 53.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 66c | 49.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 64c | 47.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 43c | 46.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Under | 55c | 43.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ba…eda6backed Over | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 57c | 42.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…bb75backed Over | 30c | 40.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…c7eebacked Under | 57c | 39.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed Under | 58c | 38.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 46c | 38.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 27c | 37.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Under | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd99…c06cbacked Over | 44c | 33.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 44c | 30.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…c0e2backed Under | 57c | 30.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 43cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Over | 43c | 29.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 58c | 29.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Over | 46c | 29.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 55c | 28.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…f55dbacked Over | 44c | 28.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 57c | 25.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Over | 44c | 25.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5Under won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.