TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2bf8…2094

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
152
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+56.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.97
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.63
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+444.1%+$90.19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.68
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$22.46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$10.6
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.08
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$3.13
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.69
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.64
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$7.82
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$33.94
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+228.5%+$118.25
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$14.06
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.9
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$8.83
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+349.7%+$72.46
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.24
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.84
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+203%+$20.61
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+105.2%+$32.9
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.53
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.84
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+124.8%+$69.16
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$12.45
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.96
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.91
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$31.48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.98
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of April 27 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+94.1%+$63.48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
All 22 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+66.6%+$27.99
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.45
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.55
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+426.2%+$77.76
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$29.28
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$27.12
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.18
Bulls vs. Mavericks: O/U 245.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$14.4
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$16.65
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.02
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.46
Spread: Celtics (-17.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.04
Spread: Celtics (-16.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.59
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$20.86
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.18
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
All 10 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-41.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+62.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+57%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Bluesbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$6.97
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Panthers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.96
All 4 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.16
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.25
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick37cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.93
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$23.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$63.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$34.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$18.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$17.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffsbacked HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$19.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ningbo Rockets vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.