NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51378975e817e1b208fe6055538ff2d4c1f3edebeb73e3e040de131d22e52c71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $346,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $436,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $346,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pelicans | 43c | 61,045$26,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,551.4 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Celtics | 56c | 43,586$24,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,248.25 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Celtics | 57c | 42,728$24,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,373.07 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pelicans | 48c | 29,646$14,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,304.83 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5e…a114backed Celtics | 52c | 29,056$15,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,947 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Celtics | 50c | 13,771$6,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,885.53 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics | 53c | 13,092$6,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,113.3 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pelicans | 45c | 11,256$5,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,092.5 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pelicans | 50c | 10,466$5,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,233.15 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Celtics | 52c | 9,892$5,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,780.63 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Celtics | 54c | 9,777$5,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,497.29 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Pelicans | 43c | 8,890$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,824.74 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Celtics | 54c | 7,909$4,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,637.73 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 46c | 6,430$2,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.03 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Pelicans | 45c | 5,400$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Celtics | 54c | 3,109$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.11 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Pelicans | 47c | 2,829$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.55 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Celtics | 53c | 2,549$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.28 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 54c | 2,307$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.74 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Pelicans | 49c | 2,247$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.27 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans | 50c | 1,967$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.22 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Pelicans | 46c | 1,918$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.61 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Pelicans | 47c | 1,886$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.36 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Pelicans | 50c | 1,818$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.81 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Pelicans | 47c | 1,817$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.01 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Celtics | 57c | 1,775$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.5 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pelicans | 45c | 1,763$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.59 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Pelicans | 47c | 1,631$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.68 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Celtics | 53c | 1,546$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.29 | 369 | 54.7%202 W · 167 L | +28.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…ee05backed Pelicans | 50c | 1,348$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.15 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Celtics | 54c | 1,301$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.27 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Celtics | 55c | 1,183$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.95 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Pelicans | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Celtics | 54c | 1,080$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.95 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Celtics | 49c | 1,060$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.5 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pelicans | 47c | 1,033$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.6 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Celtics | 52c | 1,027$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.15 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Pelicans | 44c | 1,023$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.12 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Pelicans | 47c | 1,011$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Pelicans | 45c | 990.23$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.6 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Celtics | 55c | 973$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.85 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…239cbacked Celtics | 51c | 970.6$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Celtics | 56c | 869.29$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.49 | 174 | 58%101 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Celtics | 51c | 836.55$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.47 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Celtics | 54c | 823.49$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.8 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Celtics | 54c | 783.34$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.86 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Pelicans | 45c | 764.9$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.2 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Pelicans | 48c | 737.38$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.04 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e1…a9cfbacked Pelicans | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Celtics | 50c | 680.92$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.45 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…99ddbacked Celtics | 52c | 679.84$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Celtics | 54c | 544.53$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.64 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Celtics | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Celtics | 54c | 450.19$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Celtics | 50c | 404$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Pelicans | 42c | 383.14$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.92 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Celtics | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Celtics | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Pelicans | 50c | 360$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Celtics | 63c | 347.62$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.75 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pelicans | 45c | 331.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.75 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Pelicans | 39c | 320.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.52 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Celtics | 54c | 313.33$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.54 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Celtics | 57c | 292.26$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.67 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Celtics | 67c | 274.39$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.21 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Pelicans | 45c | 273$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.85 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Celtics | 54c | 270.11$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Pelicans | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b8…1aaebacked Celtics | 51c | 247.5$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Celtics | 50c | 242.5$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.25 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e2…9589backed Pelicans | 50c | 242.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Pelicans | 47c | 227.15$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.76 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Pelicans | 48c | 223.96$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.18 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…5b98backed Pelicans | 5c | 211.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Celtics | 54c | 207.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.67 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Pelicans | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked Celtics | 50c | 197.88$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.94 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…bde6backed Pelicans | 50c | 197$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Celtics | 57c | 194.84$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Celtics | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 473 | 57.9%274 W · 199 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Celtics | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…fcd1backed Celtics | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Celtics | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Celtics | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Celtics | 52c | 185.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Celtics | 54c | 181.75$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.61 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Pelicans | 50c | 180.42$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Celtics | 57c | 170.46$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.98 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f3…c9d2backed Pelicans | 49c | 164.72$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.21 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Pelicans | 47c | 149.03$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Celtics | 54c | 147.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.03 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Celtics | 50c | 142.79$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad51…d76dbacked Pelicans | 46c | 142.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Celtics | 52c | 140.08$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Pelicans | 47c | 133.68$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Celtics | 55c | 133.06$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Celtics | 52c | 130.42$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.43 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…0888backed Celtics | 52c | 130.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Celtics | 52c | 124.32$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.68 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pelicans | 36c | 119.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-16.5)this page
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Pelicans vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-17.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.